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Identifying Multibaggers
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Topic: The Equity Desk Report card - Dercember 07.
    Posted: 01/Jan/2008 at 6:59pm

Hi,

 

This quarter’s report card is very impressive. Close to 50% of TED stocks have been up by more then 100% ever since they were put in this forum. So while the excitement has been away in power and fertilizers if any investor would have just held onto the stocks discussed on The Equity Desk he would have done tremendously well.

 

In our The Equity Desk XI  we made one change as Axis bank replaced Bharti. This concept of 11 stocks initially started at TED seems to have become a fancy item with a JM launching their new fund which would invest in only 11 stocks and a TV program where participants had to choose 11 stocks..

 

People continue to trade in several of the known names which would become unknown when the tide turns. The problem is of non recognition of the subtle difference between making money and wealth. Most of us in our initial days of investing want to make money from stocks but it is only when we start to mature in terms of our investing career that we understand that the real need for investing should be to make wealth and money making is a small part of that continuous flow that creates wealth.

  

Company

Recm

Recm

Current

Gain (Loss)

 

Date

Price

Price

Absolute %

IndiaBulls

13-Nov-06

142

980

590.14

GBN

9-Jan-07

250

1180

372.00

Everest Kanto

8-Sep-06

80

337

321.25

Infoedge

19-Oct-06

320

1339

318.44

Kotak Bank

27-Sep-06

314

1296

312.74

Mc Dowell

18-Jul-06

490

1998

307.76

Blue Star

6-Oct-06

137

514

275.18

Pantaloon Retail

26-Jul-06

225

830

268.89

ENIL

23-Jul-06

186

648

248.39

Adlabs

2-Jan-07

430

1435

233.72

L&T

6-Sep-06

1278

4167

226.06

Amarraja Batteries

15-Aug-06

66.4

204

207.23

IDFC

17-Nov-06

78

228

192.31

Yes Bank

1-Sep-06

89

250

180.90

Reliance Capital

3-Jun-07

972

2589

166.36

ICICI Bank

20-Jul-06

467

1238

165.10

TV 18

20-Jul-06

203

535

163.55

Jain Irrigation

13-Aug-06

249

640

157.03

Geodesic

17-Oct-06

90

231

156.67

Zee News

23-Jan-07

32

82

156.25

Aditya Birla Nuvo

10-Sep-06

836

2080

148.80

HDFC Bank

20-Jul-06

697

1729

148.06

Havells

30-Aug-06

285

699

145.26

Bharti  Airtel 

24-Aug-06

407

996

144.72

Crisil

2-Aug-06

1550

3686

137.81

Centurion BOP

1-Sep-06

25.5

59

131.37

HDFC,

5-Aug-06

1245

2877

131.08

Bharti Shipyard

17-Sep-06

337

770

128.49

Network18

20-Jul-06

238

514

115.97

Financial Technologies 

26-Aug06

1252

2699

115.58

Tata Investments

8-Aug-06

337

709

110.39

Titan Industries

18-Aug06

749

1562

108.54

Morgan Stanley

19-Aug-06

34.7

64

84.44

Inox Leisure

2-Aug-06

125

227

81.60

Maharashtra Seamless

22-Aug-06

365

641

75.62

Nitco Tiles

28-Aug-06

169

292

72.78

India Infoline

25-Nov-07

1119

1928

72.30

Shanti Gears

20-Sep-06

64

104

62.50

Suzlon Energy

28-Aug-06

1213

1942

60.10

Indraprastha Gas

1-Sep-06

117

172

47.01

Lloyd Electric

9-Aug-06

138

200

44.93

Kohinoor Foods

30-Aug-06

78

113

44.87

Monsanto

21-Sep-06

1488

2135

43.48

Moser Baer

15-Jan-07

220

309

40.45

Rayban Sun Optics

6-Aug-06

87

120

37.93

Indian Hotels

7-Aug-06

116

159

37.07

Zicom ELectronics

16-Aug-06

185

249

34.59

PVR

1-Oct-06

255

341

33.73

Axis Bank

21-Oct-07

735

970

31.97

Sun Pharmaceuticals

25-Sep-06

930

1200

29.03

Tata Tea

15-Nov-07

750

915

22.00

J & K Bank

23-Sep-07

710

865

21.83

Edelweiss Capital

15-Nov-07

1400

1696

21.14

Champagne Indage

7-Aug-07

690

812

17.68

LMW!

14-Jul-07

2930

3364

14.81

Trent

2-Aug-06

715

787

10.07

Infosys

19-Jul-06

1612

1769

9.74

Vimta Laboratories

3-Sep-06

159

171

7.55

ICRA

25-Oct 07

960

1018

6.04

Nucleus Software

8-Jan-07

351

365

3.99

Dabur

18-Dec-07

116

116

0.00

Dish-  TV

18-Apr-00

103

102

-0.97

Prithvi Information

2-Sep-06

327

302

-7.65

WWIL

8-Feb-07

120

99

-17.50

 

Note: Companies in bold form part of The Equity Desk XI .

 

Motilal Oswal carries out a wealth creator survey every year and though the data is historical and means nothing in terms of monetary benefits the biggest classification there is in terms of categorizing multibagger is as a one time wealth creator or an enduring multibagger.

 

For example Infosys, Wipro, Satyam, Silverline, DSQ Software and Pentamedia were all multibaggers but while the first three enduring multibaggers creators the other three were what we can call sucker stocks.

 

This bull market will end with a lot of sucker stocks. The point to remember is that stocks, sectors and investors perish but markets always exist to flourish again.Clap

 

So good investing logic indicates that we should remain invested with credible names rather then bet on the company on whom very little is being written or said about.

 

 

Regards,

 

Basant



Edited by basant - 31/Mar/2008 at 10:08am
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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BubbleVision
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Quote BubbleVision Replybullet Posted: 01/Jan/2008 at 7:36pm
Originally posted by basant

 

This concept of 11 stocks initially started at TED seems to have become a fancy item with a JM launching their new fund which would invest in only 11 stocks and a TV program where participants had to choose 11 stocks..

 

 

Once again, Solid report card. Congratulations! BasantJi, may be we should patent the "11" number, as they are just copying TED.

 
 
Originally posted by basant

 

This bull market will end with a lot of sucker stocks. The point to remember is that stocks, sectors and investors perish but markets always exist to flourish again.Clap

 
Solid Wizdom!
 
 
 
 
 
You can't make money if you are unwilling to lose...It's like willing to breathe in but not willing to breathe out. -- ED SEYKOTA ....Read Disclaimer!
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Quote catcall Replybullet Posted: 01/Jan/2008 at 7:42pm
COngratulations to you Basantji and the TED team, do  you propose any changes??
There are two times in a man's life when he should not speculate-when he can't afford it and when he can-Happy investing!
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Quote gcpradhan1 Replybullet Posted: 01/Jan/2008 at 8:00pm
Thanks Basant Jee, Again we had a splendid performance with our TED XI portfolio. And as the very purpose of TED is concerned, we should always strive to maintain TED's investigating philosophy rather than diverting our energy and thoughts for other unknown stocks. So the very purpose of the investing philosophy should be not to lose money while maintaining the pace of growth !!!!
Only buy something that you'd be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years - Buffet
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shetty
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Quote shetty Replybullet Posted: 01/Jan/2008 at 8:03pm
Thanks Basantjee. Must remeber that I have to create wealth and not be stuck with a sucker.

Must remember that in the year 2008.
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Quote omshivaya Replybullet Posted: 01/Jan/2008 at 9:14pm

Well done TEDdies & Congratulations Basant sir. Miles to go before we sleep.

The most important quality for an investor is temperament,not intellect.A temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against it
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Quote krishan Replybullet Posted: 01/Jan/2008 at 9:28pm
I was closely looking at the report card and deduced following observations. Pls. feel free to correct me incase i have made any error.
 

-          Since Year 2006, Sensex on avg. returned 80.4% and TED XI 151.3%

-          Only 1 TED XI stock recommended in Y07, rest 10 were purchased in year 2006

 

-          Since Year 2007, Sensex on avg. returned 27.4% and 16 stocks recommended in this forum returned 72.6%

-          Of 16 stocks discussed in this forum in 2007, 9 returned more than sensex but 7 lagged. But only 5 returned more than 45.5% (sensex return since 1st Jan 2007)

Note: Sensex returns are calculated assuming you are investing in sensex on date of share purchase. However if one had lump sum money available and invested it all in beginning of 2006 and 2007 then returns would have been 98.3% and 45.5% respectively.

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deveshkayal
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Quote deveshkayal Replybullet Posted: 01/Jan/2008 at 10:19pm

Edelweiss Recm price should be 825 bcoz we initiated on TED before IPO.

If one takes into account Annualized returns, then India Infoline will top the list Thumbs%20Up
 
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett
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