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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Topic: Bharti Shipyard – Smooth sailing !
    Posted: 17/Sep/2006 at 8:55pm

Bharti Shipyard – Smooth sailing!

Bharti Shipyard (CMP Rs 337) is India’s premier ship building company. The company was founded by IIT technocrats and is engaged in the design and manufacture of various inland crafts and vessels. The company manufactures a wide range of product from inland cargo barges, deep-sea trawlers dredgers Cargo Ships, Tankers and other support vessels required for the offshore industry. Bharti Shipyard also undertakes ship repair activities at its yards. Besides above, Bharti Shipyard also manufactures Offshore Patrol Vessels, Container Ships & Chemical Carriers

The revised regulation for existing single-hull tankers says that tankers which are single hull should be phased out or converted to a "double hull" within a prescribed period of time. This has created a huge demand for the ship building industries across the world.

The major shipbuilding facilities in South Korea, Japan China and Brazil have been booked with orders that are likely to keep facilities in production till 2009. While ship building could be termed as a cyclical industry we are yet to see the cycle take off, hence the visibility of earnings (for the next 3 years) is very high.

Meanwhile the local players have also been pumping in orders for ships used in exploration. The company also bagged an order for Rs 120 crore from Reliance for construction of 6 vessels including 1 diving support vessel

 

Financial Snapshot

CMP

Rs 337

Market Cap

Rs 756 crores

Sales Fy 06

Rs 201.08

EPS FY 06

22.35

PE Trailing

15.05

Sustainable growth rate (till Fy 09)

30% - 40%

PEG on lower band of growth rate

0.50

Book Value

Rs 77.40

Price to Book

4.37

Market Cap to Sales

2.25

RoE

33.64%

Source: Moneycontrol.com
 
It would be incorrect to view this company on the basis of financial results only. The company trades at a PE of 15 times trailing EPS and at a PEG level of 0.5 looks attractively valued. The RoE at 33.64% indicates that the company can grow its earnings at above market averages without going in for equity dilution. If an investor applies traditional evaluating parameters like Sales/ Market cap or price to book then the stock would look expensive but these parameters tell us only about the past while this company should be bought on the basis of the opportunity in the near future

The shipbuilding and ship repair activities are carried out at the company's shipyards located at Ratnagiri (Maharashtra), Ghodbunder (Thane, Maharashtra ).

The company caters to demand from both domestic and foreign customers. The domestic customers include port trusts, inland water transport operators and leading corporate groups like Reliance Industries Limited, Great Eastern Shipping Corporation Limited (GESCO). On the export front, the company has supplied wide range of vessels to Europe, Middle East, Singapore, etc.

Recently the company signed an agreement with Great Eastern Shipping Co. Ltd. (GESCO), Offshore Division, for the supply of a “Self Propelled Cantilevered Independent Leg, Jack up Drill Rig”. This specific equipment is manufactured by only nine companies’ world wide. The company stated that “Bharti’s entry into this niche market segment will give a major boost to its offshore manufacturing activities”.

Recommendation: Bharti Shipyard is for the growth investor who wants to play the ongoing ship building boom that has arisen because of regulatory and economic shifts. The management is competent and capable of taking the growth story forward. Investors should look at buying this stocks and adding more on declines. This company has the potential to show consistent gains for the next 2- 3 years and therefore dips should be utilized as buying opportunities

Edited by basant - 17/Sep/2006 at 8:56pm
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Quote nav_1996 Replybullet Posted: 17/Sep/2006 at 10:19pm
It would be good to make a comparison with ABG.
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Quote kulman Replybullet Posted: 17/Sep/2006 at 10:36pm

Yes, Nawendu. In my opinion this shipbuilding sector itself is bullish and we can play it through Bharati, ABG (as well L&T) due to visibility of earnings, healthy order book

I came across some information about subsidy scheme, which I wanted to share with you all:
 

Mainly three countries, namely China, South Korea and Japan, today control 78% of the world shipbuilding activities. These countries are believed to aid their respective companies by giving subsidies.

 
The Indian shipbuilding industry sees government subsidy as a necessary concession to gain foothold in the global arena as ship-building companies in Japan, Korea and China have historically managed to out price India in global bidding due to government concessions available to them.
 
In order to make the domestic ship building industry competitive and to ensure a more level playing field in the world market, the Indian government announced a 30% subsidy valid up to 2007 for shipbuilders in the private sector.
 
The Indian industry expects these subsidies to be extended further. It is rumoured that the subsidies will be initially extended for a further period of another five years up to 2012, in view of government concessions to shipbuilding in countries like Japan and China.

 

In lieu of no subsidy extension, the industry has been asking for infrastructure status. There has been talk that there is a possibility that the industry may get an infrastructure status at the expense of subsidies. If the sector gets the infrastructure status, it stands to gain more in terms of absolute profits as per indusrty experts.  

Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards
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Quote nav_1996 Replybullet Posted: 17/Sep/2006 at 10:52pm
From what ever I have read I am not able to distinguish between Bhrati and ABG. I noticed that Sundaram Select Midcap has reduced their exposure to ABG recently. I would have ignored if it was any other fund but when it is Sundaram Select Midcap I do take of note of it.
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Quote investor Replybullet Posted: 18/Sep/2006 at 2:15pm
Basant, saw a detailed article on Bharti Shipyard in todays ET also("Big Bucks
supplement). Was  just wondering if you write for them? or just a coincidence...
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 18/Sep/2006 at 2:32pm
You know I was shocked (surprised) to see the the article today in the morning. It was a peculiar co-incidence. For a moment I thought that some would say that we copied the stuff from there. Thankfully the date and the time on the post reflects the fact. I know the some guys at ET/BS but never discussed this company. ANyway this is a great concept.
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Quote s_praharaj Replybullet Posted: 18/Sep/2006 at 11:12pm

 Basant,

I would like to clarify that the article in ET is a simple coimcidence. I have read the article yesterday evening, and there were absolutely no chance, that anybody can guess what is going to come in ET.

Its not only that you are a step ahead of ET, your article was much more detailed than the article in ET.
 
Congrats and keep it up,
 
Shashi Praharaj
 
Shashi Praharaj
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 18/Sep/2006 at 11:28pm
Thank you Sir.
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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