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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Topic: TheEquityDesk Report Card - June 2009
    Posted: 04/Jul/2009 at 12:51pm

Dear Investors,

 

After five quarters of tremendous pain we had one quarter of phenomenal pleasure. Mid caps, small caps, Larges caps, junk stocks, blue chips all went up. The only thing that has not yet gone up is the Investor’s confidence. On the other hand the only things that has not yet gone down is the skepticism. Well, it is an 0ld stock market adage that Bull markets climb a wall of worry and let’s see if this bull climbs one.

 

The common advice in the market is now that stocks have gone up one should be stock specific since everything will not move. But markets have always remained stock specific unless you were buying index funds which in any case have performed better then 99% of the Indian Mfs since March 2009.

 

The Equity Desk XI: The practice of making intermittent changes in the Ted XI have been stopped from now on we will only make changes at the end of the quarter. This quarter we introduce two companies  Voltamp Transformer  and  Thermax   and replace them with ENIL  and Axis Bank !There is a provision of introducing one more consumer company in the TED XI and I shall do so after meeting the management later this month.

 

Now this quarter’s TED report card looks strange with Voltamp at the top but that is by default rather then design. The price at which I recommended Voltamp is being taken as the recommended price whereas for Thermax we are taking the price as the one where the discussion was initially started (Rs 690 ) rather then at Rs 160 when we got hot on this one. But these are cyclical services and one needs to play them with care because they cut badly when the trend changes.

 

Voltamp Transformer  and  Thermax  are being moved into the Emerging companies section.

 

Company

Recm

Recm

Current

Gain (Loss)

 

Date

Price

Price

Absolute %

Jain Irrigation

13-Aug-06

249

638

156.22

Voltamp

1-Apr-09

340

860

152.94

L&T

6-Sep-06

639

1578

146.95

Blue Star

6-Oct-06

137

335

144.53

Everest Kanto

8-Sep-06

80

194

142.50

Crisil

2-Aug-06

1550

3429

121.23

HDFC Bank

20-Jul-06

697

1495

114.49

Kotak Bank

27-Sep-06

314

665

111.78

ONGC

25-Nov-05

530

1064

100.75

Bharti  Airtel 

24-Aug-06

407

802

97.05

Infoedge

19-Oct-06

320

628

96.25

GBN

9-Jan-07

50

97

94.00

HDFC,

5-Aug-06

1245

2381

91.24

Mc Dowell

18-Jul-06

490

872

77.96

IDFC

17-Nov-06

78

137

75.64

Titan Industries

18-Aug-06

749

1174

56.74

ICICI Bank

20-Jul-06

467

728

55.89

Yes Bank

1-Sep-06

89

138

55.06

Amarraja Batteries

15-Aug-06

66.4

94

41.57

Nestle

31-Mar-08

1490

2021

35.64

IndiaBulls

13-Nov-06

142

191

34.51

Pantaloon Retail

26-Jul-06

225

302

34.22

Sun Pharmaceuticals

25-Sep-06

930

1164

25.16

TV 18

20-Jul-06

101

118

16.83

Marico

15-Mar-08

63

73

15.87

Axis Bank

21-Oct-07

735

848

15.37

Tata Investments

8-Aug-06

337

386

14.54

Indraprastha Gas

1-Sep-06

117

134

14.53

Infosys

19-Jul-06

1612

1795

11.35

Dabur

18-Dec-07

116

126

8.62

Monsanto

21-Sep-06

1488

1591

6.92

Geodesic

17-Oct-06

90

95

5.56

Aditya Birla Nuvo

10-Sep-06

836

881

5.38

Financial Technologies 

26-Aug-06

1252

1319

5.35

Max India

5-Sep-07

202

208

2.97

Tata Tea

15-Nov-07

750

727

-3.07

Reliance Capital

3-Jun-07

972

932

-4.12

ENIL

23-Jul-06

186

178

-4.30

Havells

30-Aug-06

285

259

-9.12

Opto Circuits

26-Oct-06

184

162

-11.96

ICRA

25-Oct-07

960

781

-18.65

Adlabs

2-Jan-07

430

336

-21.86

Shanti Gears

20-Sep-06

64

45

-29.69

J & K Bank

23-Sep-07

710

484

-31.83

Trent

2-Aug-06

715

485

-32.17

SKF India

16-Feb-08

358

239

-33.24

India Infoline

25-Nov-07

200

126

-37.00

Kohinoor Foods

30-Aug-06

78

49

-37.18

Maharashtra Seamless

22-Aug-06

365

222

-39.18

Thermax

15-Oct-07

690

417

-39.57

Indian Hotels

7-Aug-06

116

66

-43.10

Voltas

28-Jan-08

220

124

-43.64

Sintex

15-Feb-08

448

223

-50.22

Network18

20-Jul-06

238

118

-50.42

Bharti Shipyard

17-Sep-06

337

167

-50.45

Zicom ELectronics

16-Aug-06

185

88

-52.43

PVR

1-Oct-06

255

112

-56.08

Suzlon Energy

28-Aug-06

242

106

-56.20

Moser Baer

15-Jan-07

220

88

-60.00

Inox Leisure

2-Aug-06

125

48

-61.60

Dish-  TV

18-Apr-07

103

38

-63.11

Nitco Tiles

28-Aug-06

169

61

-63.91

LMW!

14-Jul-07

2930

973

-66.79

Edelweiss Capital

15-Nov-07

1400

380

-72.86

Nucleus Software

8-Jan-07

351

85

-75.78

Vimta Laboratories

3-Sep-06

159

31

-80.50

Champagne Indage

7-Aug-07

690

74

-89.28

 

Stocks in maroon belong to The Equity Desk XI.

 

Regards,

 

Basant Maheshwari



Edited by basant - 04/Jul/2009 at 3:09pm
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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chic_1978
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Quote chic_1978 Replybullet Posted: 04/Jul/2009 at 1:42pm
basantjee
 
would appreciate if you can give ur views scriptwise on present TED XI in brief in relation current price & future prospects...tnx
 
 
happy & wise investing
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Quote nikhil090 Replybullet Posted: 04/Jul/2009 at 1:43pm
basantjee,

why are we replacing Axis bank from equity desk 11? Is it to reduce the weightage to Financials or you feel that thermax/voltamp will provide better returns than axis bank over 2-3 years?

pl enlighten
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Quote shivkumar Replybullet Posted: 04/Jul/2009 at 2:01pm
so why is Dish TV in maroon? I thought it was removed from TED XI.

IMHO It would allow for easier navigation if the TED XI stocks were carried right up front instead being scattered all around.
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Quote Hitesh Shah Replybullet Posted: 04/Jul/2009 at 2:08pm
Originally posted by shivkumar

so why is Dish TV in maroon? I thought it was removed from TED XI.

IMHO It would allow for easier navigation if the TED XI stocks were carried right up front instead being scattered all around.


DISH is still there. See the other post.
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 04/Jul/2009 at 2:20pm
Originally posted by nikhil090

basantjee,

why are we replacing Axis bank from equity desk 11? Is it to reduce the weightage to Financials or you feel that thermax/voltamp will provide better returns than axis bank over 2-3 years?

pl enlighten
 
Both. ALso if industry recovers the financials will lag the industrials. ALso most of the Private Banks appear fairly valued and as with most large caps we cannot have a significant earnings upgrade.
 
 


Edited by basant - 04/Jul/2009 at 2:22pm
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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Quote ashishbarot Replybullet Posted: 04/Jul/2009 at 2:37pm
I too thought that DISH TV will b removed, basantji do you think in near future voltamp will give more returns than axis. coz currently its trading around 865.
You do not require an invitation to make profits.
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Quote shadows Replybullet Posted: 04/Jul/2009 at 2:52pm
Basant., is the bonus issue in NUCLEUS S/W factored in !!! I own this stock,bought recently 

Edited by shadows - 04/Jul/2009 at 2:53pm
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