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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Topic: Educomp : Revolutionizing education !
    Posted: 11/Aug/2006 at 3:35pm

Educomp Solutions: Revolutionizing education

Educomp solutions (CMP Rs 382) is India’s largest technology driven K 12 education company serving over a million students. The company provides end to end solutions in the technology driven education segment through licensing of digital content , solutions for bridging the digital divide, professional development and retail sale of education related CD ROMs and other tutorial products. The company’s vision statement reads:

·         To reach out to 10 million     learners through our products and services by 2008.

·         To be among the top 10 K12 learning solution companies worldwide by 2010.

The top management (Shantanu Prakash and Somya Kanti) are IIM alumni and through my past experience companies that have IIM/IIT alumni at the top always manage to create shareholder wealth.

Financial Snapshot

Market Price

Rs 382

Market Capitalization

Rs 607.38 crores

Sales FY 07 E

Rs 100 crores

EPS FY 07 E

16.50

Sales FY 08 E

Rs 175 crores

EPS FY 08 E

Rs 30.81

PE Fy 07

23 times

PE Fy 08

12.40 times

The company employs about 1,200 professionals and has presence in more than 30 cities across the country. In this connection it has already partnered with Intel, Microsoft, Wipro, Worldlinks Azim Premji Foundation,  several state governments, ministry of education & ministry of IT.

Educomp offers one-on-one support to US students on real time basis. Retail customers are serviced directly through www.mentoraide.com. The company has BOOT model contracts with 613 govt. and 91 private schools. The company has contracts to extend this knowledge partnership to over 1000 schools in Q1 FY07.

Educomp has developed 10,000 + content modules in over 10 languages for the Smart Class segment, over 12,000 content modules for Mathguru.com, over 100,000 pages of content for Roots to Wings and Learning Leadership System. Recently the company announced plans to enter the pre-schools market. In Mar 06, 90 schools went live with Educomp’s materials – with an average of 10 classes per school, 45 students per class and Rs90 per student (increasing) per month. The numbers of schools to be covered under this product is likely to touch 700 by March 2008. The Smart class initiative has been extended to foreign countries as well. Cedar Girls School of Singapore has signed up for the product and the company expects more such orders to flow in. This business segment runs at 60 to 60% margins.

Educomp signs 5-year agreements with State Governments to install and run computer classes in public schools on a BOOT basis. State Govt of UP, Karnataka, Orissa, Tripura and Nagaland states have already consented to this arrangement. Over the next 2 years Educomp aims to attract over 20,000 schools In this model the company books revenues at the rate of Rs 22,000 -25,000  per school per month

 

Educomp has an arrangement with Intel and Microsoft to train a specific number of teachers each year. Revenues flow in at the rate of numbers of teachers trained and deployed. Till date over 300,000 teachers have been trained so far

In 1999 Educomp started an education portal “planetvidya.com “. The content created as part of this initiative is now sold in CD ROMs. Its recent product  Mathguru.com, an innovative 24x7 math-help program attempts to help students solve every single math problem in their curriculum, text books or syllabus on an anytime anywhere basis. The model is hugely scalable and revenues could flow in at exponential levels of growth.

Recommendation: Educomp is a multibagger star in the making. The company could easily achieve a compounded annual growth rate of 70% for the next 3 years and while the stock could look costly from the short term perspective. Educomp is one company which cannot be measured through current year's PE ratio only. The increasing awareness for education coupled with rising consumer income will only create more demand for the company’s products.

 



Edited by basant - 12/Aug/2006 at 9:34pm
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Ajith
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Quote Ajith Replybullet Posted: 12/Aug/2006 at 10:13pm
Definitely has the looks of a multibagger.Being PE focussed does not pay.PEG is very favourable.Excellent buy with a 2 year horizon after which one must assess competition.
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Vivek Sukhani
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 12/Aug/2006 at 10:26pm
Looks a fairly decent play, although I beleive its quite adeqyately priced.Actually, the price value differential makes me feel its a stable play rather than a multi-bagger. It is not having a very decent sales to market capitalisation.Thats my worry. 
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 12/Aug/2006 at 10:39pm
Vivek We cannot look at sales to market cap ratio for all companies. Companies that have high margins will look over priced on sales to market cap basis and companies that have low margins will always look cheap on this basis. Sales to market cap can be used to compare companies within the same industry and not within different industries For example we can compare Tata Steel with SAIL and TCS with Infosys but not Sail with Infosys.
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 12/Aug/2006 at 10:55pm
Agree with you. Sorry, its my mistake. My apologies.
 
But still Mr. Basant, I am unable to locate too much of price differential with its value. Weneed to understand ots still a nre kid on the block, as far getting public is concerned. Behaviour as a public limited enterprise demands more than just performance.For instance, I am shocked with DLF's proposed issue. It has created such a bad image. Even though valuations may be attractive, yet I beleive we should give time to this company to deliver.
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 12/Aug/2006 at 11:00pm

The point that whether this company will deliver or not will decide whether shareholders will make many times over their capital or not so in case we wait (as a risk averse investor)  the major money could already have been made because the opportunity is today.The top foreign shareholders in Educomp are Fidelity and Goldman Sachs. It is interesting to note that 96.37% of the Educomp shares are held by people holding more than 100,000 shares. This reflects that the stock has a lot of Institution/HNI /Serious investor interest



Edited by basant - 12/Aug/2006 at 11:01pm
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 12/Aug/2006 at 11:03pm
You will find my comparing DLF with educomp a bit too weird, but all i want to say, let these new kids prove their corporate governance.I am more a devotee of benjamin graham than Phil Lynch. Also, people simply forget what Phil Lunch has said... Buy What you see, is jyst one part.He has always emphasized on the balance sheet.For instance, with the kind of pasting deccan aviation has got, oy will take miracles for this company to stand tall in Investor's eyes.
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 12/Aug/2006 at 11:13pm
I beleive this company has held out prettywell all this while.But still its 20 p.c. off its high of 466.90.Chartically, I find nothing very wrong with this company although I find the buy triggers simply missing. And the compant is trading in a band and because of lack of data, its difficult to comment whether its accumulation or distribution.But belive you if it cracks 335, it can go down in a tizzy....and till 386 and then 416 are not crossed with distinctions, this scrip is little tricky to be given a buy call.
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