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Portfolio Check Up
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 06/Nov/2006 at 6:55am
The first thing is to see how many stock you are willing to hold. Normally it should be around 10 stocks (I actually hold 4-5 at most) now if you start looking at it from a stock to stock perspective everything might look very good for instance if you see at say ONGC there would be no reason to sell. The question that we could ask ourselves are:
 
1)Do we have a better option. If so shift the entire money to that "better" option?
2) What percentage of the portfolio is ONGC right now. If it is say 3% then a 10 bagger in ONGC would increase the total portfolio by 30% so there was no point in getting a ten bagger  since the difference to the balance sheet was fairly muted.


Edited by basant - 06/Nov/2006 at 7:01am
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India_Bull
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Quote India_Bull Replybullet Posted: 07/Nov/2006 at 6:05pm
Hello Basantji,
 
Would you be comfortable to let us know the 5 stks that you hold (u r bullish on ?) Are they part of the India Team?
India_Bull forever Bull !
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 07/Nov/2006 at 6:41pm
I have said before that I am bullish on the whole team not the Indian cricket but our local Equitydesk team. Out of that the significantly weighted ones in my portfolio are (not in this order):
 
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Quote prosperity Replybullet Posted: 04/Dec/2006 at 9:23pm
This whole business of advicing on portfolio and stocks ..
 
should NOT be done to directly gain CONVICTION by relying on someone's advise !
 
infact, it should be done to understand more about the business of the stock, make views, share views and hence indirectly having CONVICTION or calling it a pass on the business and/or portfolio allocation and/or investing strategies..
 
Hope my above words are simple enough to convey the complex message i had !
 
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Quote xbox Replybullet Posted: 04/Dec/2006 at 5:37am
3-5 significantly weighted stocks and the others scattered a bit. The weightages change as one of the stocks doubled in some real quick time!
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Basant jee and I follow similar style. I like concentrated bets so Basant jee. I like to bet on sector so Basant jee. I like scalable business so Basant jee. Basant Jee like young entrepreneur so I.
Not only I like concentrated stock bets but I do concentrated sector bets aswell. Right now all my picks are from financial sectors (most of board members know that). I have many reasons to do that. I can visit correct forum for it.
I strongly believe in buy and hold for life-time type of thinking but I am weak in practice here. All of my experience advocate for this principle but so far I am weak student in this.
20-25% of my book is one stock which is speculative. Here I bet on some weak company on identified sector. As I previously said I like sector first, company second. All 75-80% are in strong company but 20-25% in speculative bets for some super gains (which can be a potential loss).
I avoid any recommendations on picks. I generally read alot about sector and then identify the pick.
Once I identify a pick, then I do all around analysis to understand management/histroy/business model/shareholder pattern (promotor holding in specific)/cash in books/ EPS growth/scalability factor/promotor interviews (if available)/PE.
I try to tolerate high PE if other study is 5 star. PE is good way to understand the business. PPL generally feel high PE means high valuations so better avoid it. But recently I learned the other side of the coin. High PE means that it can command high PEs because of following factors ....
bright future prospects, one time poor performance, new story in development etc.etc. But remember PE is twin-edged sword. It can easily cut you aswell.
 
Generally I don't look for current size, current profit margins and many such roce, ronw type of parameter.


Edited by vipul - 04/Dec/2006 at 5:43am
Don't bet on pig after all bull & bear in circle.
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tusharutuja
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Quote tusharutuja Replybullet Posted: 06/Dec/2006 at 2:09pm
Just one question here...where do you refer for all the above parameters...any particular website that speaks everything??
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Quote nikhil090 Replybullet Posted: 28/Dec/2006 at 2:33pm
I was just thinking about the kind of stocks which make up the portfolio and then have come with 3 categories.
1. Stocks for Quick Buck - HTMT, Infomedia before open offer etc
2. Stocks with Multibagger potential - Pantaloon, Educomp, TV18 etc
3. Stocks as good compounder - HDFC, ICICI bank, Bharti, L&T, TCS, Zee etc.
In Category 1 there can be any stocks which seems like short term money makers and can be held for short term and after making the money, disposed off
In Category 2,mostly the stocks have to be from Midcap space with good concept and great execution skills
In category 3, the stocks are for the long term giving consistent returns year on year. they should be comprising of large caps till we cannot find any largecap with compounding possibilities.
What i am trying to point out is that if we want compounders then we should be looking at large caps first. For ex Blue star and Shanti gear are compounders in mid cap space. But they should be invested in after we have exhausted large cap compounders. Mid caps should not be invested for compounders. Similarly even for multibaggers, we should first look at largecaps, exhaust the possibilities and then go to midcaps.

I think this is the whole principle of priortization..
This exercise will reduce the overall portfolio risk and we would be knowing what we are investing for.
As vipul's catchline says, "Always Make Only Those Transactions, Which Have Potential To Change Your Life"
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