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Global Economies - Where are they going?
 The Equity Desk Forum :Economy, Markets and commodities :Global Economies - Where are they going?
Message Icon Topic: The US economy - What is wrong with it? Post Reply Post New Topic
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BubbleVision
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Quote BubbleVision Replybullet Posted: 26/Feb/2007 at 6:59pm
Greenspan, speaking in Tokyo, said the US economy could slip into a recession by the end of this year. The comment was in response to a question whether the us economy could mjove into recession so it was more of an answer than a forecast.
 
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 26/Feb/2007 at 7:13am
Would he have said the same thing had he been the Fed Reserve chairman. He is behaving like our Matt boy (who was pulled up by SEBI). Sochte kuch bolte kuch!
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kulman
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Quote kulman Replybullet Posted: 26/Feb/2007 at 8:36am
hmmmm..... gora Matt?
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards
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Mohan
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Quote Mohan Replybullet Posted: 26/Feb/2007 at 9:38am
Kahi pe nigahe, kahi pe nishana.
Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.
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BubbleVision
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Quote BubbleVision Replybullet Posted: 02/Mar/2007 at 7:28pm
Merryll Lynch saying that US Fed will cut 125 Bps in 2007 in five meetings.
 
Fed meets 8 times in a year "Normally" out of which 7 remain in 2007.
 
Next Fed Meet is on 21-March-2007
(Rate cut then would mean "Fed Panicking" IMO)
You can't make money if you are unwilling to lose...It's like willing to breathe in but not willing to breathe out. -- ED SEYKOTA ....Read Disclaimer!
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tigershark
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Quote tigershark Replybullet Posted: 02/Mar/2007 at 7:55pm
generally all central bankers would like to stay ahead of the curve.with alan greenspan saying that there is apossibilty that usa may head for a recession i suppose bernake has is work cut out as what to do.on the other hand if he does cut rates it means pumping more cash into a system that is alreadyawash with cash it could also signal the demise of the us dollar,so would be really interesting to see what bernie finally does
understanding both the power of compound return and the difficulty getting it is the heart and soul of understanding a lot of things
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manishdave
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Quote manishdave Replybullet Posted: 02/Mar/2007 at 8:06pm
US fed is betweem devil and deep sea. They want to reduce rate for growth and stabilazation of housing. On other hand they need to finance huuuge deficit at time when savings rate is low. Reducing rate would lower dollar and that is inflationary.
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BubbleVision
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Quote BubbleVision Replybullet Posted: 02/Mar/2007 at 8:48pm
Absolutely correct Manish.... The markets look like they will test Ben this time. 
Ben looks like a deer caught in glaring headlights!
 
Also rate cut would result in further unwinding of CHF and Yen Carry which would add to the market panic.
 
Its hard to tell the crowd to go back into a burning building even if you are handing out crisp $100 bills.
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