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vittapoint
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Quote vittapoint Replybullet Posted: 28/Jul/2011 at 1:02pm
With rising interest rates and likely fall in Mumbai/Delhi prices in near term, is this great contranian BUY in near term for long term knowing that
1)low debt
2)value unlocking though IB power
3)ability of management to deliver projects
4)there has been strong pressure for reforms on land purchase,electricity etc which might make infra space less corrupt

Edited by vittapoint - 28/Jul/2011 at 1:03pm
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 28/Jul/2011 at 1:51pm
These companies should best be left alone.
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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kulman
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Quote kulman Replybullet Posted: 28/Jul/2011 at 4:47pm
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Jaishrikrishna
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Quote Jaishrikrishna Replybullet Posted: 28/Jul/2011 at 4:50pm
Originally posted by kulman





Cool Man, Really COOL
Don't Buy and Hold, Buy and Homework / Fish see the bait,but not the hook; Men see the profit, but not the peril.
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tejas
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Quote tejas Replybullet Posted: 28/Jul/2011 at 1:30am
Brilliant observation......
We should watch out for other similarities...




Originally posted by kulman



Earnings, Earnings, Earnings.
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s.sath
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Quote s.sath Replybullet Posted: 10/Aug/2011 at 5:14pm
As shown in the wikipedia article below on "Magazine cover indicator" you cannot make direct inferences all the time. It fails sometimes and it works sometimes, thats all....

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magazine_cover_indicator

"The Magazine cover indicator is a somewhat irreverent economic indicator, ........'
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Quote s.sath Replybullet Posted: 11/Aug/2011 at 2:40pm

Indiabulls expects lease income to increase 30-35%

http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/results-boardroom/indiabulls-expects-lease-income-to-increase-30-35_572456.html

Plagued by high cost of land, debt issues and slowdown in sales, the real estate pack has been seeing sluggish growth over the quarter. “The lower and mid-segment sales have been reasonable, and that compensated for the slow-moving premium market in Mumbai,” says Gagan Banga, chief executive officer, Indiabulls Group . The group's realty subsidiary, Indiabulls Real Estate  has come out with its first quarter numbers for the current fiscal.

Speaking to CNBC-TV18 in an exclusive interview, Banga says that more than 50% land has already been leased at Lower Parel, Mumbai. “Going forward, we expect lease income for the company to increase by 30-35%,” he says.

Below is the edited transcript of the interview. Also watch the accompanying video.

Q: Your numbers were sluggish. Can you take us through which areas you are seeing this sluggishness from?

A: The Mumbai premium market is kind of slow. The lower-end and the mid-segment is doing reasonably okay. We believe that we had guided that sales this year should go up by about 30%, and given the base from which we come on the residential side, we are reasonably sure that we should be able to do that number.

Q: No new project for you crossed the revenue recognitions phase in this quarter. I believe even in areas like Navi Mumbai, which I imagine would not be premium housing, have also been seeing a slowdown. What gives you the confidence of hitting that guidance that you have set out? What kind of scale up do you see through the next few quarters?

A: Construction is on full swing. In times of uncertainty, there is generally a tendency of all types of consumers to prefer and buy both, completed and projects in which construction are on in full swing. Our job is to focus on construction and to ensure that the end product is made ready in time. Execution is what we are focusing on.

Q: In terms of which projects you think will get recognized by the end of this year where you are seeing initial bookings, what are the key projects in line for FY12?

A: Both, Panvel and Gurgaon are seeing reasonable traction. I believe that as these projects progress in terms of construction, it’s only a matter of time that sales pickup as well as construction activity allows us to do revenue recognition and increase the sales numbers.

Q: Your investors are quite concerned about the way Panvel and Gurgaon are going where sales have been quite weak so far. Would you concede that it has been disappointing so far?

A: I would not relate to Panvel and Gurgaon sales as being weak. I believe that given the overall liquidity, interest rate and therefore, the market sentiment, these projects seem to be doing reasonably well. We also have to keep in context the fact that as buildings will progress, they will see greater tractions. Actually, if the focus continues to be on execution, sales in that segment are just a matter of coming in line. Therefore, I don’t see a particular reason why sales should be tepid or weak.

Here is an exclusive from moneycontrol: Where to buy real estate?

Q: What about the leasing market in Lower Parel? Has that also turned a bit lackluster?

A: Premium markets are lackluster, there is no doubt about it. Premium markets are tending to value completed apartments more than even mid-end and the lower end of the markets. So Lower Parel, no doubt about it, it’s seeing very weak activity right now.

Q: So is it true that of those two office complexes that you have only about 50% is leased right now and how much of an increase do you expect to see then in leasing income?

A: Slightly more than 50% is leased. We have given out these complexes to pretty large tenants whose fit-out work is currently going on. So I believe that the lease income should go up by as much as over 30-35% towards the end of the year.

Q: How soon you see the demerger happening for Indiabulls Power because it was cleared at the start of this year in January but we haven’t heard any words since?

A: It’s a court-led process, and so far, the progress has been very good. Shareholders gave their approval and then, we had to go and get the approval from the lenders which have also come in. Now the court has convened a date in October for the final hearing. I expect post that, towards the end of the calendar year, the process should be complete. That makes it sometime in mid-December.

Q: So what's Indiabulls response to a sluggish market? Are you considering reducing rates both on sales and on leases?

A: We have been reasonably ahead of the curve. Especially on the leasing side, we have seen good traction and good names come to our buildings, essentially because we have priced our products pretty sensibly. So Indiabulls Finance Center today gets priced depending on the quantum that one is taking on lease around Rs 125-150. So at those rates, we are not where the rest of the Lower Parel market is, which continues to price their product at about Rs 180-200. I believe sensible pricing is one aspect of how to grow the business. The other is to continue to focus on execution.

Q: Just a clarification on the Elphinstone Mill project… there were some reports about work being stopped there because of an environmental clearance. Is everything okay there?

A: That I believe was completely misunderstood and there was a clarification later. The IT part of the building is complete. There are people who are sitting in that building and the IT Park doesn’t even come under the miniscule approvals for environment. So, there is a deemed approval there. Hence, there was no issue and I am currently sitting in Elphinstone Mill which is the Indiabulls Finance Center.

Q: If you are working with lower rates than some of your peers in the areas that you function in, are you holding with your FY12 guidance in terms of margins of 25% because this quarter has been half of that?

A: We believe that sales will grow by about 30%. Margins should be in the range of about 20%.




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Quote s.sath Replybullet Posted: 11/Aug/2011 at 8:47pm
Recently, I have found few nagging issues on Indiabulls Real Estate. If you look at their annual report of FY10 available at:

http://www.bseindia.com/bseplus/AnnualReport/532832/5328320310.pdf


Issues:
 1:  In page-68 of the report, you can find that they have made substantial investments in other almost irrelevant companies like AnantRaj, Jagati Publication (YSR son Jaganmohan Reddy's controversial company), etc., What are they up to spending about Rs. 900 crores in such company investments???

2. In page-115 you can see a curious company "Indiabulls Infrastructure Company Limited"  This company is not a subsidiary of Indiabulls-Realestate. Its looks like a company owned privately by Indiabulls promoters in their personal capacity(If you look at the IPIT FY2010-2011 annual report available at www.sgx.com, you could find that Sameer & Rajiv Rattan are directors of this curious company).  Further if you do a google search on "Indiabulls Infrastructure Company Limited", you can find that contracts for several IB-REAL& IB-Power projects are being routed through this promoter privately owned company. The immediate question from me is WHY??? Why do the promoters want to route all the project contracts through  their own private company? Any comments on this will be helpful.

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Some links on the contracts being routed through this way:

Siemens bags Rs.124 crores order from Indiabulls Infrastructure Company Limited
http://www.siemens.co.in/en/news_press/index/indiabulls_infrastructure.htm

Several Ib-Power contract works:
http://www.technofabengineering.com/turnkeyprojects03.htm

Construction of Central Park Residential Apartment project at Madurai
http://www.ecciltd.com/%28S%281kyg3i3dqv0p2zv3npp53g55%29%29/newsdetails.aspx?RecordID=13&


Indiabulls Greens - Panvel Construction of Residential Towers at Panvel (B+G2G+32), Mumbai
Indiabulls Greens - Chennai Construction of Residential Towers (B+G+19) at OMR Road, Chennai
http://tuipl.com/projectslist.html


Indiabulls Infrastructure Company Limited, Saraspur , Ahmedabad
http://swastikarcade.com/default.aspx?name=current-projects


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Disclaimer: I have investments in IB-Realestate, IB-Financial services & IB-Securities. I don't plan to sell them on these issues yet.  It will probably very difficult to find clean companies in Infrastructure/RealEstate business. Even there is a talk in the news that,  Tata-Realty provided 1600 crores unsecured loan to Unitech (Coincidentally the 2g spectrum license fee cost for Unitech is about Rs. 1600 crores :) ).  If the so-called-clean Tatas have to do hanky-panky stuff in Realty business, then what else can Indiabulls do.....

Apart from these obvious negatives above, there are several positives I see to continue holding those shares for now. However, the things above needs to be properly considered by investors. 
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