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Buffet, Lynch and other legends - Investing Strategies
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kulman
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Quote kulman Replybullet Posted: 26/Dec/2006 at 1:02pm
`2007 will be year of consolidation and rise for the Indian markets' : Rakesh Jhunjhunwala

Source: Businessline - Dec. 25 - Bangalore

Equities delivered superior returns over the long term.
"Market is always right. Markets cannot be taught, they have to be learnt.

"We must have an attitude where we must balance fear and greed," was the hot tip by Mr Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, India's high-profile investor and President of Rare Enterprises, when he spoke at a
seminar on `Wealth creation through equity investments' organised by Welingkar Institute of Management here on Friday.

Mr Jhunjhunwala spoke about his convictions that made a case for sustaining the India growth story. Equities, because of their efficiency in allocating capital and ability to leverage, generated superior returns when compared to other assets over the long term, he said.

Since 1979, the Sensex has delivered 21 per cent returns compounded annual growth rate, which compares well with returns on funds managed by the legendary global investor Warren Buffet, he added.

Opportunities

Mr Jhunjhunwala said that enormous wealth was created over the last five years because opportunities in India have been manifold. There is a strong case for investing in equities considering its under-penetration today.

He predicts the proportion of household savings to equity to rise to 15 per cent in 2011 from 4.5 per cent now as a result of which about $45 billion would flow into equity markets as against $6 billion now. He expects 2007 to be a year of consolidation and rise for the Indian markets.
According to him, the Sensex may have a floor at 12,500 and a peak at 16,500 in 2007.

Admitting that gains were going to be moderate in future unlike the manifold rise over the last few years, he advised investors to be realistic in their expectations. He said that markets were unlikely to peak unless they were trading at a multiple of 25-30 times forward earnings. They are
currently trading at about 16 times their earnings for financial year 2008.

Growth momentum

Speaking on the strength in India's fundamentals, he elaborated on forces that would sustain the growth momentum. According to him, growth enablers (such as favourable demographics, higher base of skilled people and education base), liberalisation catalysts (such as competition), fall in interest rates, multiplier effect (on account of reforms), structural changes in quality of corporate earnings and micro trends (such as change in mindset of companies who are aspiring to become global) are likely to drive India's growth story to a higher level. He, however, cautioned that investors should not forget the four-letter word `Risk' while making investment decisions.

"Patience may be tested, but conviction will be rewarded," he said.
 
 
 
 


Edited by kulman - 26/Dec/2006 at 1:10pm
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards
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vip1
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Quote vip1 Replybullet Posted: 26/Dec/2006 at 1:46pm
"Patience may be tested, but conviction will be rewarded," he said.
Golden words .
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deveshkayal
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Quote deveshkayal Replybullet Posted: 09/Jan/2007 at 12:46pm
RJ turns bullish on KPO,buys Mumbai firm.He has bought majority ownership in Inventurus Knowledge Solution,a company that does back office work for US and UK based legal and healthcare firms,for an undisclosed sum.
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 11/Jan/2007 at 9:44am
I saw that RJ bought 40 lac shares of IFCI that is about Rs 8 crore worth of shares.
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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monu_duggad
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Quote monu_duggad Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2007 at 2:01pm
yeah..rather he accumulated it during past 2 months..when stock was in the 11-12 range....already its at 22...cool 80 % ROI
If you think you can,You Can
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PrashantS
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Quote PrashantS Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2007 at 12:47pm
I think he is really smart...he knows what he is doing.........not easy tomake money like him...........
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kulman
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Quote kulman Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2007 at 9:16am
Did I mention that one day we would see RJ on the TIMES cover....I think he's on the way to that fame..........here is one article in WSJ on him.
 
Indian Mogul Rises to Status Of Money Icon
Hunt for Undervalued Now Goes to the Mall; Like Warren Buffett
by Diya Gullapalli - Wall Street Journal - January 13, 2007

Mumbai, India -- Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, often referred to as "India's Warren Buffett," built his fortune over the past 20 years by shopping for undervalued local companies. Now he's shopping for shopping malls.

 
He is keen on the malls, and the consumer goods flying off the shelves there. There is "a big explosion of purchases in India," especially in areas like construction and jewelry, he said recently, sitting in his 15th-floor office here in Mumbai, India's financial capital, his back to the Arabian Sea just beyond the window.Mr. Jhunjhunwala, a chain-smoking, diamond-ring-wearing 46-year-old money manager, is idolized in India by millions of small investors who dream of following in his footsteps.
 
He is a fixture on Indian television, talking up his bull-market views, and on the lecture circuit -- addressing groups like the "Millennium Mams," an organization targeting housewives who want to learn about business. He makes headlines when buying 2% of a company's shares, sits on 10 boards of directors, and regularly finds fellow investors chasing his stock picks.
 
His investments map the arc of India's recent economic emergence. The son of a tax commissioner, Mr. Jhunjhunwala says he toyed with becoming a pilot but went into accounting instead. In the mid-1980s, he began playing the market with 5,000 rupees (just over $100 at today's exchange rates), and never looked back. One of his first investments: Tata Tea Ltd., which quickly took off. (Years later, Tata Tea would acquire British tea giant Tetley.) He subsequently moved into mining, where he made his first million rupees in iron-ore exporter Sesa Goa.
 

In this nation of castes and sometimes rigid tradition that can limit social and economic mobility, his is a relatively unusual story of self-created wealth. Today, he has amassed a $700 million fortune. While that pales in comparison with the real Buffetts of the world, it's a fortune in a country where average annual income is measured in hundreds of dollars. Mr. Buffett's fortune has been valued at more than $40 billion, though he is giving away big chunks of that to charity. Like India's stock market itself, Mr. Jhunjhunwala has had his share of setbacks. Last year, the Securities and Exchange Board of India cleared him and his wife in an investigation into stock-price manipulation. The case dealt with how some big trades from his firm a few years ago affected stock prices.

 
Mr. Jhunjhunwala's colleague, Utpal Sheth, says they are pleased with the outcome of the case and found regulators "sensible and fair." Mr. Jhunjhunwala certainly isn't the only Indian investor to benefit from the run-up in local markets in recent years. Many other value investors there have also become famous for spotting cheap stocks. And last May, when the Bombay Stock Exchange's benchmark 30-stock Sensitive Index, or Sensex, plunged amid a sharp retreat in emerging-markets stocks world-wide, Mr. Jhunjhunwala's portfolio tumbled along with it. He endured another big hit just a few weeks ago, when a dramatic downturn in Thailand's stock market rippled through India's market as well. Local newspapers blared headlines like "Blood Baht in Thai markets," a reference to a decline in Thailand's currency, the baht. India's shares fell 3% that day. The next day Mr. Jhunjhunwala, sitting in front of five computer screens in his office in the Nariman Point financial district, scribbled trades in a small notebook and barked orders to his assistants in Hindi to fetch tea and sell some shares.
 

"The market is on the weaker side today," Mr. Jhunjhunwala muttered -- an understatement -- sitting with his collared shirt untucked.

 
As the day unfolded, he found time to eat an elaborate Indian lunch and chat with a friend about bringing a bottle of whiskey that weekend to his house in the hills outside of Mumbai, formerly Bombay, which features a karaoke studio and gym. In his office, his assistants serve drinks on coasters printed with a quote stressing the importance of integrity and hard work that is attributed to John Bogle, Vanguard Group's founder. Displayed nearby are images of Hindu deities, as well as sketches of billionaires Mr. Buffett and George Soros. He built his private investment company, Rare Enterprises (the name merges the "Ra" from his first name with "Re" from his wife's name, Rekha), by investing mostly in smaller Indian stocks. His rise has differed from other Indian investing icons who made their names through speculation and fraud during the technology bubble of the 1990s.
 
One of his best recent moves was selling part of his stake in Indian rating company Crisil Ltd. to McGraw-Hill Cos.' Standard & Poor's Corp. for more than four times what he bought it for. S&P acquired a majority stake in the company last year. These days he is buying land in the south India city of Secunderabad, where he plans to build shopping malls, and backs private equity and other investments in a dredging firm, a radio station, a school and a security company.
 
"In Mumbai, he's very widely known" as a "bit of a blunt guy," says Pradeep Dokania, head of the global private-client group for DSP Merrill Lynch. However, "sometimes people may feel he's overconfident" about the markets. So far, his optimism has paid off. The Sensex has quadrupled in the past five years, and such growth is attracting foreigners. In just the past week, New York Stock Exchange parent NYSE Group Inc. and others said that they are buying a stake in India's National Stock Exchange.
 
And Mr. Jhunjhunwala is sticking to his guns. By 2010, he predicts India's gross domestic product growth will have hit 10% for at least one year.
 
In a slide show that outlines his investment philosophies, he says: The bull market in India "will really need God's wrath for it to be reversed prematurely."
 
 


Edited by kulman - 13/Jan/2007 at 9:25am
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards
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omshivaya
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Quote omshivaya Replybullet Posted: 14/Jan/2007 at 2:41pm

Very very nice Bhaiyya jee. Ab thora sa help kar do ham small investos ko...apne kisi ek PE company ko public le aayo(partly maybe)...hame bhi khane do malai!

Anyway, good luck Rakesh jee and yes great article kulman jee.

Edited by omshivaya - 14/Jan/2007 at 2:43pm
The most important quality for an investor is temperament,not intellect.A temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against it
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