This article is worth reading and quite an eye opener ..
The case of the missing retail investors The Indian capital market is in danger of turning into a private club PRITHVI HALDEA Posted online: Wednesday, January 24, 2007 at 0000 hours IST Just how large is India’s retail investor base? At both depositories put together, India’s total demat accounts touched an aggregate figure of 98 lakh on 31 December, 2006. As the number of investors cannot be greater than the demat accounts, this number disproved the 2-3 crore figure that is typically bandied about, which is low in itself. In a booming 100-crore-strong country experiencing rising incomes and a stock market bull run, an investor base of just 98 lakh was worrisome enough. However, the bigger shock came on January 1, 2007, with the mandating of PAN submissions for every investor. The 98-lakh number was punctured by the revelation that about 43 lakh accounts (nearly half) had to be frozen on lack of PAN verification, leaving this vast country with only 55 lakh investors. Delete multiple and joint accounts opened for convenience or those that get opened automatically on a complimentary basis when one signs up with many banks, and the count falls further.
Then came a further jolt. Of the 43 lakh frozen accounts, as many as 22 lakh had no shares in their accounts. While many of these could be the complimentary ones, a large number would be of those who sold off their balances before 31 December to escape detection under the PAN regime (year-end liquidations need to be investigated). What’s also intriguing is the huge balance of 21 lakh accounts that had shares but where investors failed or did not bother to claim these. Who are these people? Dead? Moved abroad? Had minuscule shareholdings not worth the effort? Were joint accounts where only one holder provided the verification? Willing to give up holdings for fear a possible audit trail?
Surely, there would be some investors who had hoped for yet another extension to the deadline. But not only had a long extension already been given, advertising and individual letters had alerted investors of the change — and obtaining a PAN is now easy.
While we’re being fed with feel-good numbers of growing retail investors, recent revelations confirm my suspicions Going through my files, I found that there were 40 lakh demat accounts as on January 15, 2003. Over the years, this number was supposed to have grown to almost a crore. But exactly four years later, we are back to square one!
The reasons for this growing investor apathy may be classified into issues of confidence, policies and processes. On the confidence front, the small investor has gone into a shell, ravaged by scams and unnerved by volatility.
Policies, too, are responsible, though the facade is that these are for his benefit. IPOs are no longer a retail draw now that companies are allowed to offer only 10% of their capital to get listed, and worse, only 35% of it is reserved for small investors. This means that allocation to the retail sector is a meagre 3.5% of a company’s capital. This used to be 60% not too long ago! It doesn’t help either that bookbuilding IPOs are not available outside the top cities/towns.
All this, even as the retail investment processes turn more inconvenient and expensive, right from proving ones’ identity to the elaborate IPO application. Many would think that I worry unnecessarily because small investors are now moving towards mutual funds. This does not appear to be true. First, the low allocation of household savings to the capital market is inclusive of mutual funds. Second, it is non-retail that comprises the dominant investor base of mutual funds. Third, the growing corpus has been substantially aided by the rising share prices. Fourth, equity constitutes only a minor part of their corpus. Amazingly, the numbers flagged around are of folios, which are meaningless, as one investor would be counted as 25 in case he has invested in five schemes of five mutual funds or even made 25 applications to the same scheme.
Ten years ago, nearly 25% of household savings were invested in the capital market. Worrisomely, this had fallen to just 1% two years back, with minor improvement last year. We need a serious study on the vehement rejection of the capital market by Indian households. Would the finance minister and/or the Sebi chairman, given their passion for small investors, appoint a high-powered committee to address this ‘financial emergency’? Or else, should we let our public market become a private club?
—Prithvi Haldea is MD, Prime Database. These are his personal views
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