Print Page | Close Window

ENIL - Interesting sound bytes

Printed From: The Equity Desk
Category: Investment Ideas - Creating winning portfolios!
Forum Name: Emerging companies - Mid caps that can become large cap
Forum Discription: These are companies operating in growing markets having have certain niches or specific attributes like new sector plays. These are emerging multibaggers with high risks and high rewards.
URL: http://www.theequitydesk.com/forum/forum_posts.asp?TID=37
Printed Date: 03/May/2025 at 2:38pm


Topic: ENIL - Interesting sound bytes
Posted By: basant
Subject: ENIL - Interesting sound bytes
Date Posted: 22/Jul/2006 at 11:31am
ENIL - Interesting Sound bytes
 
 
Entertainment Network India Ltd (ENIL) C.M.P 187 is India’s most heard FM radio channel (Radio Mirchi) holding over 50% of market share in the nascent Radio broadcasting business. The company has been promoted by the TIMES Group and registered a turnaround in fy06. The earnings per share was at Rs 6.20 while annual revenues were at Rs 117.41 crores up 57% over Rs 74.94 crores the corresponding figure last year. The operating margins stood at a healthy 32.83%. The RoCE and RoE were at 15.77% and 13.36% respectively.

 

One explanation that I thought for the lower return ratios was the IPO proceeds which were still in the process of being deployed. Over the next few quarters the company should increase its return ratios once its embarks on an aggressive deployment of idle cash.

 

The last few months have seen some hectic Institutional/ Mutual Fund activity on the ENIL stock. The total FII Holding has increased from 12.45% at the time of allotment to 18.07%.

 

Amongst the local mutual funds Standard Chartered Premier Equity fund had bought 112,699 shares in June. Other prominent believers in the ENIL story are Magnum Fund, DWS, DSP – Merrill Lynch The total Mutual fund exposure to the ENIL stock has doubled from 127478 shares to 246664 shares over the last one month.

 

The trigger for this stock has been the slew of policy changes announced by the Govt. Prominent among these are:

 

  • Introducing a one time Entry fees (OTEF) + Revenue share at (4% of gross revenues) against the Fixed License Fee regime. Some years back an explosive growth was observed when the license fees for the Indian Mobile telephony industry was changed from fixed to revenue sharing. Something of that order could be in store for the FM Radio broadcasters.  
  • The FDI in Radio broadcasting has also been increased to 20% 
  • The number of cities where FM Radio will be introduced has gone up from 12 to 91 
  • The number of stations will also go up from 21 to approximately 300 
  • The number of players are expected to rise six fold from 7 to 43

 ENIL is currently running 10 radio stations (Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Pune,Ahmedabad, Indore, Bangalore, Hyderabad and Jaipur). Over the next 12 to 18 months the company plans to set up 22 additional stations. Clearly the company appears to be in  a high growth phase. ENIL expects the growth opportunity for private FM to increase from 3% (Rs 3.7 billion) of Rs 129 billion market to 8% (Rs 38.0 billion) of Rs 480 billion in ten years starting Fy 07.

 

The company also qualified for the Out-of-Home advertising rights of Delhi Metro (13 stations), Kolkata (80 hoardings) and Delhi-Noida toll bridge (66 displays) for total license fee of Rs 340.0 mn (US$ 7.6 mn) payable over a license tenure of 2 - 5 years.

Price Waterhouse Coopers estimates the total Out-of-Home media industry to grow at CAGR of 14% in next 5 years increasing its ad share to 7% and size to Rs.17.5 billion.

 

ENIL is also exploring opportunities to expand its FM radio broadcasting business into international markets and to maintain its market leadership in fast growing radio industry. ENIL proposes to add the following value added services”

 

  • Launch Visual Radio through mobile phones
  • Exploit additional revenue streams like Mirchi Activation
  • Focus on Out-of-Home media growth
  • Explore opportunities to lease sites on a long-term basis
  • Introduce innovative technology and processes
  • Create  event properties at an appropriate time
  • Focus on Life style, Fashion shows and Exhibitions

 The major Institutional shareholders who have taken a meaningful position in the company are:

 

Institution

Percentage holding

Fidelity

9.48%

HSBC

2.64%

Macquarie

1.68%

Morgan Stanley

1.62%

Citigroup

1.32%

 

 

The company foresees the following challenges in its path of growth

  • Rapid roll-out of stations
  • Talent identification, training and retention
  • Increasing competition will make retaining and growing absolute listenership numbers difficult 
  • Cost management – especially with regard to marketing and payroll
  • Rationalization of music royalty regime
  • Development of listenership research standards and spread       across the country

 Recommendation: At a current market price of Rs 184 the stock does look expensive as it is being valued at 30 times trailing EPS. How ever at a market cap of Rs 877.2 crores there is more to the valuation matrix then the PE multiple. Growth stocks have traditionally been high PE stocks and if the company’s plans are to be believed the EPS should double over the next two years. ENIL is a great concept for people looking at a 2 to 3 year time horizon.

 

 

 

 

Comments and feedback are invited.

 

 
Source: Financial Websites and company feedback


-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in



Replies:
Posted By: maag
Date Posted: 25/Jul/2006 at 8:33am
At 35 times can you call ENIL as "Gems in the dust?" Does it not appear over valued?


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 01/Nov/2006 at 11:31am
ENIL reported good numbers for the current quarter. Net profit rose to Rs 4.9 crore compared to Rs1.67 crore in the previous quarter.Total income grew by 24.19% to touch Rs 42.4 crore during the second quarter compared to Rs 34.17crore in the immediately preceeding quarter.
 
There was a huge operating margins expansion to 23.43% from 4.88% which indicates what scalability could do to profitability in companies like these.
 
The  Indian Listenership Track (ILT - Wave 9), an independent research conducted by MRUC, indicates that for the period July- September 9, ’06, Radio Mirchi enjoyed the highest listenership of 44.6 lakh in Delhi out of a total listenership of 60.2 lakh listeners.

In Mumbai too, Radio Mirchi dominated listenership with 22.1 lakh out of a total of 49.8 lakh listeners. It increased its lead over No. 2 player in Mumbai from 10% to 30%.
 
Radio will like all other media businesses will be a oligopolistic market with only the top 1 or 2 players being investment worthy.


-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 06/Nov/2006 at 10:50am
Hi Mr Basant,

ENIL is one of the laggards ( ) out of all the stocks that you discussed.It is up by 20% when the market is also up by the same %. The numbers as highlighted have been good. The only factor may be whether the company would be able to maintain growth in face of increasing competition in the next one - two years with margins.


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 06/Nov/2006 at 11:00am
I am optimistic on the potential of this stock but as we know this is more of a 24 month call. As with broadcating the leader wins the battle in radio also. In the long run Adlabs and ENIl should exist. ENIL currently is the leader with close to 50% market share on an India basis. Stock should create significant wealth over the longer term.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 06/Nov/2006 at 11:15am
I asked my wife also about her view of Radio mirchi. she is pretty positive on the channel and considers it to be better than anyone else in delhi till now.. she used to listen when she was in delhi.. so some more insight.. if anybody else has heard radio mirchi and can compare with radio city or red fm etc, then we can get some more idea about the quality..


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 06/Nov/2006 at 11:24am
Mirchi sunne walle sabse Khush!

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 06/Nov/2006 at 11:30am
But as per the information available from ENIL website, ADlabs adn some "Kaal" company have bagged the highest number of licenses - adlabs 44, "kaal" 40.. while enil will have 33 put together.. But definitely ENIL has a lead in all the top metros where its stations are already up and running.. Do you think that the radio station will lure the advertising away from print/visual media or the pie is big enough for all?


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 06/Nov/2006 at 11:43am
Pie is vey big. Total adspend should grow substantially from these levels.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 07/Nov/2006 at 1:32pm
Dear Mr Basant,

Is it a good time to start buying into this stock? Are you comfortable with the valuations right now?


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 07/Nov/2006 at 2:30pm
I think so. Stock is out of radar of most people and accumulation for the longer term can be made.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: prosperity
Date Posted: 07/Nov/2006 at 5:28pm
Basantji,
 
Out of ENIL and Educomp, whose valuations looks more comfortable to get in now and slowly accumulate on dips - such that we can make these as some 3-5% of our LONG TERM (3 yrs - 5 yrs) PORTFOLIO.
 
And pls. choose ONLY one one out of these two.
 
Thanx.
 


-------------


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 07/Nov/2006 at 7:00pm
Originally posted by prosperity

Basantji,
 
Out of ENIL and Educomp, whose valuations looks more comfortable to get in now and slowly accumulate on dips - such that we can make these as some 3-5% of our LONG TERM (3 yrs - 5 yrs) PORTFOLIO.
 
And pls. choose ONLY one one out of these two.
 
Thanx.
 
 
I would go with Educomp.


-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 07/Nov/2006 at 7:34pm
Why? Any specific reasons? However will ENIL qualify in top 10 picks?


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 07/Nov/2006 at 7:41pm
Not much to choose between the two but yes ENIL is surely in the top 10.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 07/Nov/2006 at 8:30pm
I understand. the final call is always ours and so we have to be convinced. The risk with very fast growing companies like Educomp, ENIL etc is of execution. The management has to be competent to handle the growth and convert the opportunity into numbers. But we will know only after some time about the competency when the numbers start flowing for consistent period. I read somewhere in this forum the example of Infosys Vs Mastek. So that explains..


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 27/Nov/2006 at 10:53am
Jp Morgan came out with a buy report on ENIL; Sudipto mailed it to me.The sentiments seems to be rubbing on to the stock right now.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: vip1
Date Posted: 27/Nov/2006 at 11:07am
Basant,
The key differance between ENIL and Educomp is the Management . One can be assured from the fact that the Times group is behind it .
Basant , Can we have the copy of the JPMORGAN report .


Posted By: PrashantS
Date Posted: 27/Nov/2006 at 11:11am
well i this was one stock out everyones radar ...now it is in the limelight after the report....Basantji ....should we wait for buying more .......emotions are driving these markets a lot i guess.....


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 27/Nov/2006 at 11:27am

 Yes, at the moment ENIL seems priced in but that is the way markets work.They look at the bridge they have to cross while we prefer to keep looking at the bridge we just crossed. I think the difference in making 15% and 150% lies in how far and how reasonably can one see ahead.



-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: kulman
Date Posted: 27/Nov/2006 at 11:33am
 .......I think the difference in making 15% and 150% lies in how far and how reasonably can one see ahead.
-------------------
Hmmm...that explains why most legendary investors wear spectacles...!!Anyway, Basantjee, this was another great original quote!
 
 


-------------
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 27/Nov/2006 at 11:40am
Hmmm...that explains why most legendary investors wear spectacles...!!
____________________________________________________
 
RJ, Lynch, Buffet, Soros, Steinhardt, Smair Arora Neff. FOr the others they are on lenses probably.
 
http://www.theequitydesk.com/globe_troting_macro_players.asp - http://www.theequitydesk.com/globe_troting_macro_players.asp
 


-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: tigershark
Date Posted: 28/Nov/2006 at 3:25pm
if i dont have enil in my enteertaiment and media portfoio should i add it at the current price, i do not follow any time limits but what i look at is margin of safety and THE PRICE AT WHICH I BUY.please help

-------------
understanding both the power of compound return and the difficulty getting it is the heart and soul of understanding a lot of things


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 28/Nov/2006 at 3:49pm
This is not  value stock so no margin of safety as such. Since the stock is not cheap it should fall with the market in  case it goes up from here in a short period of time it becomes very costly. I think that over the next 3 years ENIL should emerge as a big winner. It controls over 50% of the FM Radio market and the whole sector is growing at 20% plus.Even if it loses some market share the overall growth would continue since the industry itself is growing. A point worth remembering is that  additional revenues flow directly into the bottomline.
 
There is no big downside risk so initial positions could be built but this is more of a 2010 play.


-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: Equity Buff
Date Posted: 06/Dec/2006 at 12:03pm

Dear Basantjee,

K---- has come out with a buy report on ENIL today. The EPS given for FY 07 & FY 08 is 6.5 & 8.6 respectively. The ROE for FY 07 & FY 08 is given as 11 & 12.5 respectively. The target price is given as Rs. 294 in 12 months. Do you agree with these EPS, ROE and price target figures or do you find them conservative.
 


-------------
"Time is on your side when you own shares of superior companies". Peter Lynch.


Posted By: chic_1978
Date Posted: 07/Dec/2006 at 12:26pm

Kotak Securities report on Entertainment Network India:

"We see Entertainment Network India (ENIL) as an emerging player in city-centric media businesses with a dominant presence in radio broadcasting and a footing in nascent segments like outdoor advertising & live entertainment through its subsidiary- TIMPL. ENIL intends to grow its radio footprint extensively with a proposed roll out of 22 new stations in addition to the existing 10, over the next fiscal."

"ENIL's revenues are expected to grow at a CAGR of 55% over FY06-08E to Rs.3.3 billion in FY08E driven by a robust 41% CAGR growth in radio revenues to Rs.2.4bn and a healthy ramp up in TIMPL revenues to Rs 900 million. Healthy revenue growth, aided by economies of scale emerging across the different business, is expected to impact operating margins positively. Consequently, we expect ENIL to report an EPS of Rs.6.6 in FY07E, Rs.8.6 in FY08E and Rs.10.7 in FY09E."

"While the stock looks costly at 14.8x FY08E EV/EBITDA and 28.8x  FY08E P/E, we recommend a BUY on ENIL. We believe that the strong growth in the radio and outdoor advertising industries,  ENIL's leadership position, close associations with advertisers & a  strong management team will lead to high and sustainable growth  in the years to come. Our valuation methodology suggests a price target of Rs 294, achievable over a 12-month horizon."



-------------
happy & wise investing


Posted By: chic_1978
Date Posted: 27/Dec/2006 at 11:20am
basantjee
 
as you know i hv this habit of buying stocks at expensive price.... trying to improve pretty well offlate.......
 
however ENIL i bought 300 @ 251, what do u feel, should i hold or exit since it is expensive & re enter later ?????????
 
please advice


-------------
happy & wise investing


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 28/Dec/2006 at 12:00pm

Trading maybe someone else might be able to advice as an Investor I would not suggest that strategy.



-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 07/Jan/2007 at 12:54pm
some news affecting FM radio
 

(6 January 2007 8:30 pm)

 

MUMBAI: The government appears to be veering towards acceding to a long standing demand of private FM radio networks that they be given news broadcasting rights.

The Broadcasting Bill, to be placed in the next session of Parliament, is likely to contain the provision of giving news broadcasting rights to private FM channels, the Press Trust of India news agency has quoted All India Radio director-general Brijeshwar Singh as saying in Kolkata today.

Singh, however, said that there was opposition to it already from some political parties, PTI reported.

Slamming what he termed as the sensationalisation of news by private TV channels, Singh suggested a regulatory mechanism to check this practice. Singh was also quick to point out that AIR "has not been accused of this".



Posted By: chic_1978
Date Posted: 12/Jan/2007 at 3:24pm

Tnx Basantjee 

ENIL hits all time high 297/- & closes today @ 285/-
 


-------------
happy & wise investing


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 19/Jan/2007 at 7:26pm
ENIL has posted very good numbers for this quarter. WHile their topline grew by 10% QOQ, the operating profit have jumped up by more than 80% to 17+ cr. Their net profit is up 3 times QOQ to 12.4 cr...


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 19/Jan/2007 at 10:37pm
This was bound to happen in electronic and radio broadcasting the additional revenue flows directly into the bottomline since there are no raw material, fuel  costs etc. ENIL remains a classic long term buy.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: kulman
Date Posted: 19/Jan/2007 at 10:02am
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2007/01/20/stories/2007012002550500.htm - Radio sees fastest growth in ad revenues
 
Chennai Jan. 19:  With a plethora of FM radio stations coming up following the implementation of phase II of privatisation, the ad revenues of the segment have grown 58 per cent from around Rs 316.8 crore in 2005 to Rs 505.3 crore in 2006.

According to Adex India's survey, of all segments, radio was found to be the fastest growing medium, though on a smaller base, followed by the Internet at Rs 163 crore from Rs 105.6 crore in 2005, a growth of 52 per cent.

 

The print media's ad revenues grew by 24 per cent at Rs 7,856.6 crore from Rs 6,322.8 crore, and TV by 22 per cent at Rs 6,617.8 crore from Rs 5,412 crore in the year 2005.

The overall ad industry grew by 23.4 per cent, fastest in the last five years, to Rs 16,300 crore in 2006 from Rs 13,200 crore in the previous year. Of the overall ad industry, while the print medium got the lion's share of 48.2 per cent (47.9 per cent in the previous year) and TV 40.6 per cent (41 per cent the previous year), radio was a distant fourth with 3.1 per cent (2.4 per cent), after the out-of-home segment with 6.1 per cent. Attributing the radio's growth mainly to the good "a la carte menu" now advertisers have before them, Ms Praveen Malhotra, Vice-President- Advertising Sales, Big 92.7 FM, said, "The ad pie of the radio will grow even faster in the years to come, and will touch at least 10 to 12 per cent in another two years."

Mr Siddhartha Mukherjee, Director-Communications, TAM Media Research, says that for brand communication purposes, one certainly requires a multi-media approach. Among the media available, radio is turning out to be one with high potential. For marketers and media planners, radio has become all the more important to study and understand its consumption pattern. "Especially after the recent flow of channels into markets beyond metros, it is high time radio is studied and looked at more seriously," he says.

----------------------------------

With such explosive growth opportunities, does ENIL carry that potential to become 5~6 bagger from here?


-------------
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 19/Jan/2007 at 11:06am
Radio Mirchi - Its hot!!!!

-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: chic_1978
Date Posted: 19/Jan/2007 at 11:45am
Type UnAudited UnAudited UnAudited UnAudited
Date Begin 01 Oct 06 01 Jul 06 01 Apr 06 01 Jan 06
Date End 31 Dec 06 30 Sep 06 30 Jun 06 31 Mar 06
Description Value(Rs. million)
Net Sales 467.37 410.54 341.72 327.26
Other Income 16.72 13.44 13.21 9.37
Total Income 484.09 423.99 354.93 336.63
Expenditure -307.57 -325.13 -295.26 -245.55
Operating Profit 176.51 98.86 59.67 91.09
Interest -4.05 -4.35 -1.34 -22.06
Gross Profit 172.46 94.51 58.33 69.02
Depreciation -46.24 -44.58 -41.02 -92.85
Profit before Tax 126.22 49.93 17.31 -23.83
Tax -2.22 -0.62 -4.23 -19.35
Profit after Tax 124 49.31 13.09 -43.18
Extraordinary Items - - - 98.11
Net Profit 124 49.31 13.09 54.94
Equity Capital 475.64 475.64 475.64 475.64
EPS 2.61 1.04 0.28 1.5
Nos. of Shares - Non Promoters 13645265 13645265 13645265 13645265
Percent of Shares - Non Promoters 28.7 28.7 28.7 28.7
Result Type Q Q Q Q
 
ITS REALLY HOT !!!!!!!! CHECK THE PAT INCREASED BY 151% ON QTQ BASIS. THAT AWESOME......

-------------
happy & wise investing


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 19/Jan/2007 at 11:54am
So our out of form player is making a comeback and members who backed this player should also be feeling proud.Clap

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 12:39pm
What do you anticipate the growth rate of radio industry beyond 2010-11? Can it be closer to 15-20%? On that growth will depend the growth in share price for ENIL..


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 12:44pm
Not sure about beyond 2010. Too early to take that call but till then it is super high growth.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: pavankchhabra
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 2:58pm

 Mr. Basant

How is adlabs Radio business doing.Can we expect it to catch up with ENIL over a longer term.


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 3:15pm
FM 92.70 is doing well from whatever I hear.Numbers are not in the public domain but ENIL still has more then 50% market share. About post 2010 it is very difficult to make that call right now. 

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: omshivaya
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 4:28pm

Super high-growth - 100% y-o-y? Or 50% y-o-y for ENIL till 2010? Tongue

Would it be reasonable to expect ENIL and TV18 India to give same returns or ENIL can even beat TV18 India, growth-wise, TILL 2010? Just asking, since you have used very nice adjectives for ENIL, Basant sir.
 
 
 
Thank you.


-------------
The most important quality for an investor is temperament,not intellect.A temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against it


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 4:49pm
40% plus is super high growth.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: omshivaya
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 5:00pm

Okie dokey sir!!



-------------
The most important quality for an investor is temperament,not intellect.A temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against it


Posted By: sanjay3
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 11:09pm
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2007/01/20/stories/2007012002550500.htm

-------------


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 10:34am
I think that the difference in making money lies in forecasting the trend and following it. So while all those papers would cry about how radio is booming ENIL is already up 55% since we started discussing it here.It would go up from here also but since the direction (in terms of actual radio revenues) have been set the price has gone up to mitigate the risk premium out of that

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 20/Jan/2007 at 11:24am
Global biggies eyeing domestic radio sector..
 
http://ibef.org/artdisplay.aspx?cat_id=60&art_id=14585 - http://ibef.org/artdisplay.aspx?cat_id=60&art_id=14585


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 22/Jan/2007 at 12:30pm
They will complete roll-out of remaining 22 stations by 31st July.
I think it can be a 3 bagger from here on.


-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: ramki830
Date Posted: 23/Jan/2007 at 11:03pm

Friends,

 
A related question. I believe that Govt is all set to allow FM Radio Service providers to provide News broadcast as well. That was not allowed till recently.
 
Which means that we dont need to rush home and see NDTV or CNBC-TV18 on TV, we could hear it all in our own FM enabled Mobile Phone.
 
What do you feel would then be the effect/impact on ENIL and Adlabs?
 
PS - I dont own either as of now.
 
 


Posted By: kulman
Date Posted: 23/Jan/2007 at 7:29am
News on the move! That will be very convenient way to keep in touch while travelling.
 
Just wondering however, how those Radio Jockies would read stock ticker tape !! Would there be running commentary (like cricket matches) from 09:55 to 15:30 Hrs?
 
a sample:
 
Aur yeh Infy ko dekhiye....buyers aur sellers ke beech mein jung chal rahi hain. 11780 buyers 2202 pe khade hain, aur 9860 buyers 2203.50 pe! Jaisa ke shrotagan jaante hain, kal Infy 2188 pe close hua tha... Aur uska 52-Week high 2417 hain.....Abhi abhi aye samachar ke mutaabik, Nilekani saahab ne kaha hain ke FY08 ka guidance Rs. 116 hain!!! Aur yeh kya....ekdum chhalaang lage ke Infy 2270 pahunch gaya hain! Aur saath mein Nifty-Fifty bhi all time high pe! Ab iske baare mein baat karenge Mumbai se vishesh jaankaar "Shri positive structure"....
 
and it goes on and on ....
 


-------------
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards


Posted By: chic_1978
Date Posted: 23/Jan/2007 at 9:04am
Kulmanjee
 
That was a classy act....keep it up


-------------
happy & wise investing


Posted By: vivekkumar_in
Date Posted: 23/Jan/2007 at 10:20am

Kulmanji,

     Allowing News is good for FM.. It opens up for Talk shows, Discussion tables, current affairs, business  etc...There are umpteen number of FM stations in US that reap big time..



-------------
Often we forget there's a company behind every stock,and there's only one reason why stocks go up. Companies go from doing poorly to doing well or small companies grow to large companies.
P Lynch


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 23/Jan/2007 at 10:36am
Originally posted by kulman

News on the move! That will be very convenient way to keep in touch while travelling.
 
Just wondering however, how those Radio Jockies would read stock ticker tape !! Would there be running commentary (like cricket matches) from 09:55 to 15:30 Hrs?
 
a sample:
 
Aur yeh Infy ko dekhiye....buyers aur sellers ke beech mein jung chal rahi hain. 11780 buyers 2202 pe khade hain, aur 9860 buyers 2203.50 pe! Jaisa ke shrotagan jaante hain, kal Infy 2188 pe close hua tha... Aur uska 52-Week high 2417 hain.....Abhi abhi aye samachar ke mutaabik, Nilekani saahab ne kaha hain ke FY08 ka guidance Rs. 116 hain!!! Aur yeh kya....ekdum chhalaang lage ke Infy 2270 pahunch gaya hain! Aur saath mein Nifty-Fifty bhi all time high pe! Ab iske baare mein baat karenge Mumbai se vishesh jaankaar "Shri positive structure"....
 
and it goes on and on ....
 
 
That was extraordinarily hillarious. Try reading it in AMin Sayaani's accent and you could have more fun from "Kulman's creation"!!!
 


-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 23/Jan/2007 at 10:47am
Here goes Vir Das of Radio or should i name another person,probably Jay Leno!!! Smile

-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 06/Feb/2007 at 12:01pm
Entertainment Network - Updates

News Body:
Entertainment Network India Ltd has informed BSE that Delhi International Airport Pvt Ltd (DIAL), through its Invitation to Tender ('ITT') dated December 26, 2006, requested the Proposals from the Interested parties to design, set up, develop and maintain advertisements at Indira Gandhi International Airport at new Delhi ('Airport') at the specified locations by way of License.

In response to the ITT, among other Interested Parties, DIAL has accepted the Proposal of Times Innovative Media Pvt Ltd ('TIMPL'). TIMPL has been selected as the Successful Interested Party for awarding the License, in accordance with the terms and conditions set out in the ITT.

TIMPL is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company and operates its Out of Home Media business under the brand name "Times OOH Media".

I dont know whether this is the reason why the stock has moved up significantly..


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 06/Feb/2007 at 12:05pm
Yes, this could be a big reason. ENIL shall derive revenue from its OOH advertising segment which is expected to grow exponentiually over the next 2-3 years.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 08/Feb/2007 at 10:30pm
Interview with Radio City CEO. Need to keep track of competitors also
 
Indiantelevision.com's interview with Radio City CEO Apurva Purohit
 
'Radio will certainly see consolidation next year'
Posted on 5 February 2007
 

The radio industry is poised to make its next big leap as radio stations gear up to implement the Phase 2 licenses. The metros have been covered and it is now the turn of the smaller cities to experience FM magic. Radio City has been a pioneer in the FM boom with the first ever FM station in India- Radio City, Bangalore set up in 2001.

Five years on Radio City CEO Apurva Purohit details the changes in this dynamic industry and all the challenges it's yet to face in an interview with Sujatha Shreedharan from Indiantelevision.com

Excerpts:

 

The Phase 2 bidding has seen the major networks, including Radio City, expanding their footprints to cover mini metros. What are the unique challenges one would face when it comes to setting base in a small local setting?
Clearly, when we had decided to go in for the second phase of bidding we had decided to restrict ourselves to metros and mini metros only. Essentially what we were saying is that we will go for the top 15 cities where we have over 70 per cent of the advertising revenue and they are in certain tone and manner and feel similar to the large towns we have been operating in.The only exception is the whole Maharashtra belt which includes Ahmednagar and the smaller stations. And this is a call that we took because networking is allowed only in these cities which means you set up your network in Ahmednagar and run Sangli and Nanded from that station. We took that call because we wanted a network station in our portfolio. Also Maharashtra is a rich state and works from the advertisers perspective. We also believe that our SEC A and B market are not dramatically different in these regions whether it is in terms of sophistication, exposure to media or even exposure to FM. They may be at different life stages but in terms of consumer, percentage of SEC AB population, income level or education or even ethos they are broadly similar. Also you must remember that we have been running the Lucknow FM station for five years. We have the experience of running a FM station in a mini metro and we hope to translate this experience into other smaller cities.

What about the language and flavor of these upcoming FM stations?
Radio City does believe in typically adapting itself to the local flavor. At the same time you must remember that we are positioned as a premium, up market SEC AB kind of stations. Therefore our language mix does tend to be different from the typical mix than a mass station is concerned. For instance in Bangalore we do run a lot of English, Hindi and Kannada whereas the other stations are typically Kanada stations. In Chennai, we are very much English and Tamil. In that sense, the kind of RJ talk will be focused on the premium market.

What about a city like Pune?
You know Pune is culturally very similar to Mumbai, so that is the kind of mix one is likely to find. Of course it will be adapted to the local culture of Pune which is rich in theatre or Marathi music.

With the setting up of stations in mini metros, Radio City will now look at dual competition - from existing network players who are also setting up their stations as well as from single city players. How will you tackle that?
Certainly the local players have taken a single city or selected a particular city because of various reasons like their already established status in say print or publishing. So they are very focused and are able to get into a mass position because they are local. Besides radio while it may have a national brand, does tend to also try to be local. So there is competition. Big, small, single city networks - they are equal competition. The other thing is that I think the position we have taken which has evolved over the last five years is differentiated not only from single city players who are local or mass but also the network player. What I am trying to say is that single city players tend to take the bottom end of the pyramid - local, regional, SEC ABC, while network players have taken the SEC AB kind of position which is mass but on a network level. Direct competition is therefore the network players, while local stations tend to be competition to players like RED FM.

What about advertising revenue accruing from mini metro stations?
In fact content is where you could say that differentiation gets greyer. As far as revenue is concerned, that's a no-brainer since we are trying to get ads from the corporate clients and large national players. In that sense the local players are no competition. The question to ask is - Is the advertiser trying to buy radio because you also have print or is the advertiser trying to buy a good network which is either number one or two. We are very clear that we as a network focus on the right kind of network in 15 of the top cities. In revenues there is no competition. As far as content goes, there will be competion with local players.

 

A few years ago, differentiators were perhaps easy to identify within the few radio players. With the numbers growing how does one still hold on to or reinvent that differentiator?
I think the whole industry is in a state of flux. My opinion is that now, when the newer players come in they will have to recognize that if they want to grow the listenership pie they better come in with different options. The newer guys have to come in with different languages or different formats and personally if you ask me that is not happening right now. All the newer guys have really not lived up to our expectations of trying to build a differentiator and as you are rightly saying therefore today there is a mass of similar feel players. You could also say that there are certain brands which have been there for five years and therefore they have equity and there are others which are just entering the market and they are broadly similar. You must also remember that the investments in brand building have happened only recently. Before this the whole industry was struggling to find its own feet. In that sense the industry is still very nascent in terms of trying to build an image for itself. Given those kind of issues and challenges, we have been trying to portray Radio City as a brand, say, which is different from a Radio Mirchi perceived as a more aggressive and in your face - teeny bop kind of station to our more softer, slightly older 25- 30 years, premium listenership. And that has developed over a period of time and is becoming clearer only over the past year or so. Sure, the differentiation worked in a non competing market. Today, however, you have to take it to the next level and we at Radio City are doing exactly that- pushing this whole process of identifiable branding to the next level.

Could you explain how you plan to do so?
It is a little premature to say that, except that the intent is very much there. But if you had to look at international examples certainly there are differentiations that could be built in at the psychographic and demographic segment. Even demographically, what an 18-year-old youngster wants is different from what a 25- year-old youth wants although they may fall under the similar youth category. So if there is a difference in the kind of music they aspire to hear, they must be given that. And the radio that pushes this difference will be the radio station that stands out in the long run. I think where people have failed is that they have tinkered with the branding or marketing story but have done nothing different with the product. At Radio City we are very clear that we will only talk about the differentiation when we can actually demonstrate it in the product. No one has made that differentiation although we have tried various innovations. With Mughal-e- Azam or Babbar Sher or more chat shows. But we believe that we can really fine tune the product far far better.

Is there a sense that this overdependence on Bollywood by all FM stations is the real cause of similarity in programming?
I think that there is Bollywood and then there is an equally vibrant music industry although we tend to put them all in the same basket. But if you remove the animal out of the Bollywood cage, then you will realize that there is almost a 100 years worth of beautiful music. It's just that a lot of it happens to be mostly from Hindi cinema. Ultimately it's the music of the nation. All of us are using popular music and that is a fact of life. We are ultimately mass stations aren't we? If we were niche stations we would have jazz. But it's not fair to say that Indian radio stations are equal to Bollywood and therefore 'Che!' They are not different. Internationally also all mass stations do look at popular music. Almost 80 per cent of international stations play popular music except that they are able to differentiate themselves in terms of appealing to a particular target group or by playing only a particular 'sound'. Unfortunately in India, we are yet to go to that second level. This can be due to various reasons- nascent industry, unsound policies. Besides how old is this industry? About five years old. Out of which four years we spent struggling to stay afloat. It's very easy to beat up this industry with the 'Bollywood tag'. But we've barely stabilized over the past two years. So there's no doubt that the differentiation has to come and will come. And it will be led by pioneers like Radio City. If you ask me, even within the context of popular music you can differentiate.

How long do you think this process of evolution will take place?
According to me FM started evolving last year when the government announced regulatory corrections and a fresh package. Look at the growth since then. We have grown in stations. The number of players in each city has also increased and even in terms of content - you have an Indigo which plays English music or a Fever FM which experiments with format radio. So one phase of evolution has already happened. The second phase of evolution will start now where players like us really chart out our different positions which will happen in the coming six months. Then there will be an era where there will be more consolidation and regrouping. Some players will fall by the wayside, some players will push ahead. In the next year there will certainly be a lot of consolidation. Then there is the station setup, scaling up. A year ago radio city had about 100 people. We are now looking at having about 300-500 people in the next few months. Isn't that a spurt? The natural evolution in any other industry would have been ten years; we have done that in three years.

 
'The natural evolution in any other industry would have been ten years; we have done that in three years'

Do you believe that there is bound to be a clutter with the number of radio stations coming in?
I don't think there will be a clutter, but in the frenzy to launch radio stations I believe that learning will not happen as it should. Learning and qualitative inputs. There is no luxury to actually test market a product or try a pilot launch. Now you say, lets launch first and we'll figure out in the market if it needs to be changed.

There is a huge debate over the tools used to measure listenership and advertising on radio. What does Radio City turn to?
Of course the first thing that this industry needs to do is set up a robust currency to determine advertising and listenership. There is a strong movement towards it and sooner rather than later it will have to evolve. We prefer to use NRS and then we have Synovate which does our brand research for the last three quarters. We are just waiting for the industry to stabilize before we declare these findings publicly. We are looking at listenership understanding, listenership pattern in different cities, psychographic and demographic pattern.

Is the industry complaining about the FDI regulation in radio which allows for only 20 per cent foreign equity?
Currently we are happy with whatever the government has allowed considering we spent five years working hard to convince them. We are quite ecstatic about what we got. I think the government itself needs to realize that the industry is in a state of buoyancy and it must give whatever impetus it can - news and current affairs license, networking, multiple frequencies or FDI. Quite honestly, the first three rather than FDI.

Is Radio City looking at multiple licenses and what kind of stations would you be interested in?
Yes we would. But for now it would be like blue sky gazing. We would look at news and current affairs, different genres of music, spirituality or even different languages.

Is there a worry about lack of a sizeable talent pool to choose from?
Talented and skilled people is something all radio stations are worried about. Where does one get trained people from? You have to do your own training. Fortunately we realized sometime ago and we have invested reasonably in increasing the skill set. Since we've been here for five years, we have had a large number of people working for us. Even then it has been a challenge for us.The other problem is of course being attractive enough as an employer for a talent pool to come to us. We try to build ourselves as a brand which is informal or a fun place to work. Very 'un media' is how I would describe it.

What does the re entry of Star mean to Radio City?
It is purely an investment decision at a shareholder level. At the operational level of the company it has zero impact. And besides we have alliances with most networks as clients or media partners - DNA, Zee, Sony and Star. So there won't be any special content tie ups with Star. So operationally nothing, it's purely an investment decision
.

Can you give a comparative understanding of how radio looks - 2006 versus 2007?
In terms of the ad pie there has been no dramatic change. While there has been a 30 to 40 per cent growth, there will be no big change since the new stations have not been all set up and operational. Between 2005 and 2008 one is looking at doubling the industry. It will grow from 2.5 to a minimum 5 per cent simply due to geographical coverage area. In fact we would have more than doubled if there were far more genres on offer. It won't go up to a 60 per cent unless people start segmenting and providing different products. If I were a new player, that's a question I would ask.

What about the revenue and listenership growth at Radio City in the past year?
Revenue wise we have clocked a 40 per cent growth last year. As for listenership, if I were to give a Bangalore example it has grown from 1.5 million to about 2.5 million listeners which is almost 60 per cent growth.
Radio City has also jumped on the bandwagon to have celebrity RJs on air?
We are very clear that a celebrity won't work unless it's what the programme wants or what the brand wants. Using a celebrity just for the heck of it won't work. Taking a TV star and putting him on radio is just gimmicky. We concentrate on RJs in terms of their music understanding power. Sonu Nigam speaks about Mohammed Rafi, Roop Kumar Rathod talks about ghazal maestros. In so far as the celebrity enhances the music experience on our audience, we'll entertain the concept. And this is the case for all radio stations, not just Radio City.
 
What about the music industry and the high rate of fees it charges radio stations?
Somewhere we will have to understand that radio will only help drive their CD and DVD sales.The cost of purchasing music must be justified. We as a large network may deal with it but what about smaller stations.

Radio City recently tied up with Vibgyor Brand Services for on ground activation? What kind of details have been discussed since the launch?
We are in the process of client briefings with various advertisers. We are already offering one level of on ground activity. But our clients are asking us for more than just sales promotions. They want more exciting ways of integrating our client's needs.
 
What according to you would be the next fillip for radio?
The next fillip is of course the launch of stations in 91 cities. After that, the sky is the limit. How we use radio with net, outdoors, events, with new age media will also come under sharp focus. Look at radio and mobile. Radio used mobile much better than television. We receive 2-3 million text messages from one city, while television sees that number nationally. As for us, currently we are in the process of setting up our stations in Gujarat - Surat and Ahmedabad - and are in the process of employing people.


Posted By: omshivaya
Date Posted: 08/Feb/2007 at 2:03am
Interesting post. Kep these lates news coming in. Well done nikhil ji.

-------------
The most important quality for an investor is temperament,not intellect.A temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against it


Posted By: Mohan
Date Posted: 10/Feb/2007 at 11:44am

Am I too Late for this party ?

I like the story. very much ....


-------------
Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 12/Feb/2007 at 4:07pm
An unconfirmed sources say RJ bhaiyya has invested in ENIL.

-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: chic_1978
Date Posted: 13/Feb/2007 at 9:42am

Basantjee

Enil has corrected a lot in past couple of days, do you think it right time to enter this stock say around Rs 300/- ??? or would you prefer increasing exposure in TV 18 @ 570/- levels....please comment..



-------------
happy & wise investing


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 13/Feb/2007 at 10:36am
Both stocks have also gone up a lot so it would be difficult to say they have corrected a lot. Longer term both should create wealth - Take a pick depending on what suits your mental framework.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 20/Feb/2007 at 9:51pm
-

- http://www.financialexpress.com/grfx/spacer.gif -

-

- Will 2007 be the year of FM radio?

- - http://www.financialexpress.com/grfx/trans.gif -

- Given the virtual explosion of new stations, this nascent medium is chomping off a larger slice of the growing advertising pie

-  

- http://www.financialexpress.com/about/feedback.html -

http://www.financialexpress.com/feinsight.html - FE INSIGHT

http://www.financialexpress.com/grfx/spacer.gif -

-

Posted online: Tuesday, February 20, 2007 at 0000 hours IST

 

http://www.financialexpress.com/about/feedback.html?url=+window.location.href+&title=+title1+ - '); //--> http://www.financialexpress.com/about/feedback.html?url=http://www.financialexpress.com/fe_full_story.php?content_id=155342&title=Will%202007%20be%20the%20year%20of%20FM%20radio? - http://www.financialexpress.com/about/feedback.html?url=http://www.financialexpress.com/fe_full_story.php?content_id=155342&title=Will%202007%20be%20the%20year%20of%20FM%20radio? - http://www.financialexpress.com/grfx/feedback.gif -

 

http://www.financialexpress.com/fe_full_story.php?content_id=155342# - http://www.financialexpress.com/fe_full_story.php?content_id=155342## - http://www.financialexpress.com/grfx/email.gif -

 

http://www.financialexpress.com/print.php?content_id=155342 - http://www.financialexpress.com/print.php?content_id=155342 - http://www.financialexpress.com/grfx/print1.gif -

 With the expansion of FM from 12 to 91 cities in the second phase under the revised policy on private FM stations, 2007 is expected to be the year of the radio. The sheer proliferation of channels and the pressure to stand out in the crowd will certainly see innovative programming formats and marketing initiatives. The FM radio market in India today is worth Rs 360 crore and is expected to grow at 40% a year.

According to conservative estimates, an investment of Rs 1,000 crore has been planned for the rollout of 250-300 proposed FM channels over the next few months.

Radio’s share of the advertisement pie is poised to grow from the current 2.9% to 7% over the next ten years, even as the advertisement pie itself grows at 14%, according to industry estimates. Predictably, ad rates are higher in the cities, but that could be pared if a growing number of players vie in the same market.

FM radio is relatively young medium. The government has two official FM stations under All India Radio that continue to be popular in small towns and rural areas.

In 2001-02, the first major initiative to roll out independent commercial FM stations turned out to be an abysmal disaster as a result of exorbitant licence fees that made it uneconomical for the winning bidders to launch stations. The second auction in January 2006 was better structured, with a one-off entry fee supplemented by a revenue-sharing arrangement. Now, FM broadcasters need to pay 4% of annual revenues to the government.

In an effort to be heard above the growing din of FM chatter, every channel tries its share of innovative marketing and programming. BIG 92.7 FM, owned by Anil Ambani’s Reliance ADA, hopes to draw listeners by playing adult contemporary hits, and it expects to reach 45 cities and 200 million people by the first quarter of 2007. Meanwhile, Richard Branson’s Virgin linked up with HT Media’s just-launched Fever 104 FM and sees virgin opportunities in a market where radio attracts only 2% of the total ad spend in comparison with the global average of between 6% and 7%.

According to research firm Media e2e, the overall radio advertising revenue has grown from Rs 318 crore in 2005 to Rs 421 crore in 2006 and is slated to touch Rs 686 crore in 2007. Atul Phadnis, chief evangelist, Mediae2e, feels that revenues from smaller towns will start accruing from 2007. Local advertisers like car service centres, educational institutions and retailers are expected to use these channels. But national advertisers could benefit from package rates that include smaller towns.

If, for example, an advertiser buys spot ads on stations in Mumbai or Pune, smaller centres such as Kohlapur or Nashik could be bundled in at only a small, additional cost. Says Anand Chakra-varthy, head of marketing, BIG 92.7 FM: “We have 12 FM stations, which gives national advertisers the opportunity to use radio as a medium in markets where other players do not operate.”

Virgin’s Fever 104 FM positions itself as more music, less talk. Moreover, with most channels turning entirely Hindi, Fever claims to offer listeners 20% mainstream English music. “Our station reflects the evolving tastes of urban Indians who are comfortable with both Hindi and English and seek a good music experience,” states S Keerthivasan, business head, Fever 104 FM, in a communiqué.

Radio One FM 94.3—the Mid-Day Multimedia and BBC Worldwide joint venture, which has stations in Mumbai, Bangalore, Delhi and Chennai—plans to invest about Rs 4.5 crore on infrastructure alone, says Rajesh Tahil, chief executive, Radio One FM 94.3. More stations are going to roll out in Pune, Kolkata and Ahmedabad by the end of the year.

Apurva Purohit, CEO, Radio City says, “While television talks to people, radio talks with people. Radio is a habit-forming medium, which creates a deep, personal connect with listeners. In Chennai, Radio City pioneered India’s first on-location radio. We were the first FM station to introduce the concept of movie pujas, audio releases and live coverage with celebrities.

In Bangalore, we pioneered India’s first radio platform for upcoming bands through Radio City Live.” Clearly, innovation is key to ensuring that listeners remain engaged.

Agrees Thomas Abraham, COO, Red FM: “The advertising communication projects RED FM’s brand attitude with use of new media plus public service messages plus attitude. In an eight-to-ten station scenario, people stand by your consistency–so we do not try to be everything for everyone; We play only 250 hit songs. The presence of more stations will drive listenership and, in turn, fetch more ads.”

For advertisers, FM seems to be a great way to reach out to people, too.

Says Perfetti’s marketing head, Sameer Suneja: “People listen to the radio while talking on the phone, chatting on the Net, or even watching television. So, perhaps, this reminder medium is the only one that can leave a lasting impression on the multi-tasking consumer of today in an unobtrusive manner. From the point of view of advertising, the industry could expect double-digit growth in the next year-and-a-half.”

Good incentives work, too. Radio One gave out Rs 1 lakh every day for two weeks on its show, Malamaal Daily. The station received about 50,000 responses a day during the contest and a total of about 2 lakh in that duration. Big FM launched the Sone ki Baarish contest in December last year.

Again, an activity to attract listeners, the contest gave away ten gold coins in prizes every day for 21 days across three cities. Big FM received about 17 lakh responses through SMS in the three cities. Meanwhile, in Chennai, Hello FM decided to give listeners gold during the Pongal festival, following its launch in that city.

While incentive promotions may attract listeners, FM broadcasters are learning that it takes a lot more to retain them. “You cannot bribe listeners without good content,” says Chakravarthy of Big FM. “Instant benefit promos are a great tactic to help build listenership but the trick is to make them loyal listeners,” adds Kaushik Ghosh, national marketing head, Radio Mirchi.

According to AC Nielsen’s Corporate Decision Makers (CDM) Survey 6—a study of media consumption and product-service usage habits—the number of CDMs tuning into radio almost doubled in 2006 to 72%, from 38% in 2005. But will the good times last?

Says Chakravarthy of BIG FM: “When advertisers have a hugely cost effective medium like FM, and a network which gives them reach across the country, they will naturally start spending a higher proportion of their media budgets on FM.” In the nascent Indian market for radio, FM fever has definitely caught on. “The year 2007 will be a watershed, with 200 channels launching in the next 2-3 months, and advertisers have reason to be buoyant,” says Mirchi’s Ghosh.

In a scenario where the ad revenue for FM has gone up from 2.5% in 2006 to 3% in the first half of 2007, the next two years will be music to the ears of FM broadcasters, advertisers and listeners alike.

 



Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 20/Feb/2007 at 10:08pm
Good one Nikhil. If u can highlight some main points in Bold, it will b easy to read.

-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: janakkhatau
Date Posted: 21/Feb/2007 at 12:00pm
at today"s rate  enil is worth bying for return of 50% in 6 months time ?


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 21/Feb/2007 at 10:38am
FRONT PAGE – Financial Express

Sports commentary on FM soon

CORPORATE BUREAU
Posted online: Thursday, February 22, 2007 at 0000 hours IST
NEW DELHI, FEB 21: Private FM radio stations may soon be allowed to air sports commentary, although the ban on news broadcasts by non-government FM channels would take a while to be lifted, information & broadcasting minister Priya Ranjan Dasmunsi said at the Express Group’s Idea Exchange programme on Wednesday. “I will soon go to Parliament with a proposal to allow sports commentary in the private FM radio sector as it is not news,” Dasmunsi said. The Centre is likely to qualify sports commentary as entertainment to make this possible. Currently, news reporting is not allowed on private FM radio, though the government has thrown open the sector to FDI and laid out a liberal policy, which will result in 300 new stations following the second phase of bidding last year. Allowing sports commentary could be the first step towards giving FM channels greater freedom, including the ability to broadcast news, albeit in a phased manner. “Though there are no such plans for now (allowing news), we may do it in future and start with metro FM channels that may broadcast metro city news,” Dasmunsi said. The minister also hinted that the government could consider opening up terrestrial TV, currently the sole preserve of public broadcaster Prasar Bharati, to private players.


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 22/Feb/2007 at 1:44pm
Kulmanji whats your take on Sports Commentary on FM,we listen currently on AM.(U have given us a slice of Business news on FM).

-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: kulman
Date Posted: 22/Feb/2007 at 10:50pm
U have given nice idea.....like MTV we shall soon have Radio FM (Fun with Mungerilal)!!


-------------
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 25/Feb/2007 at 11:29am
FM radio industry posts 60% growth
 
Driven by the launch of 50 new private FM radio stations as part of government’s second phase expansion plans, the FM radio industry has registered 60 per cent growth in 2006 within the media and entertainment sector
FM radio generated advertising revenue in excess of Rs 500 crore in 2006, according to radio industry estimates. These numbers will be part of the upcoming Ficci-PricewaterhouseCooper report on media and entertainment sector which will be released in Mumbai next month, industry sources said
The media and entertainment sector will continue to grow at 20-22 per cent. Last year, the Ficci-PWC report had indicated 32 per cent growth for the FM radio industry on a base of Rs 300 crore revenue generation. This was based on second phase rollout of private FM radio expansion plans by the Ministry of Information and Broadcasting
The boom in FM radio is driven by the anticipation of an increase in the foreign direct investment (FDI) cap from current 20 per cent to 26 per cent or even more and the permission to broadcast news and current affairs,” a media analyst said.
The shift to revenue-sharing arrangement in the second phase is also responsible for the high growth, the analyst added
Radio as an industry may cross the Rs 10,000-crore mark within couple of years. Currently, over Rs 3,000 crore worth of investments have already been made and the third phase could very well see setting up of support industry to further fuel the growth and investments,” an industry analyst said
Within this year, all the 270-odd private FM stations will be operational. Also, the government has already indicated the possible rollout of another 700 FM stations in the third phase which will sustain the high growth rate of the radio industry
For the third-phase of FM radio expansion, industry is expecting an investments of another Rs 5,000 crore
Source: BS


-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: vip1
Date Posted: 05/Mar/2007 at 5:06pm

Basant,

In todays fall ENIL has in fact closed in the positive seems that some strong buying supported it?


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 05/Mar/2007 at 6:19pm
I used to think like this earlier but it does not work that way. Stocks which do not fall the during the first wave of correction do tumble later on. But so far ENIL has been able to maintain itself quite well.

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 05/Mar/2007 at 6:55pm

This is an advantage of Radio over newspapers and TV (which is being ignored) may lead to robust growth in advertising revenue.

Ad avoidance by listeners, which is virtually nil in radio in comparison with 68 per cent in newspaper and 44 per cent in TV. Advocates of radio also argue that it offers far tighter targeting, which means less wastage or spillover.


-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: kulman
Date Posted: 05/Mar/2007 at 7:08pm
Ad avoidance by listeners, which is virtually nil in radio .........
 
--------------------------------------------
 
That's very interesting argument.
 


-------------
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards


Posted By: omshivaya
Date Posted: 05/Mar/2007 at 7:10pm
Hmmm, this is interesting...
 
Delhi Intl Airport appoints ENIL's OOH arm to handle biz
 

 

 

 

MUMBAI: The Delhi International Airport Pvt Ltd (Dial) has awarded Entertainment Network India Ltd. (ENIL) outdoor arm with the license to design, set up, develop and maintain advertisements at the Indira Gandhi International Airport, New Delhi, in specified locations.

An official announcement made by the firm states that Dial in response to it's Invitation to Tender (ITT) dated 26 December 2006, has accepted ENIL's Times Innovative Media Pvt Ltd ('TIMPL') proposal.

TIMPL has been selected as the Successful Interested Party for awarding the License, in accordance with the terms and conditions set out in the ITT, adds the release.

TIMPL is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company and operates its Out of Home Media business under the brand name 'Times OOH Media.'

 
 
Source: http://www.indiantelevision.com/mam/headlines/y2k7/feb/febmam18.htm - http://www.indiantelevision.com/mam/headlines/y2k7/feb/febmam18.htm


-------------
The most important quality for an investor is temperament,not intellect.A temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against it


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 07/Mar/2007 at 11:57pm
First Delhi, now Mumbai.......
--------------------------------------------------------------
 
Mumbai Intl Airport awards ad duties to Times Innovative Media
Mumbai International Airport Private Limited (Mial) has awarded the contract for advertisement rights at Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport (CSIA) to Times Innovative Media Pvt. Ltd. (TIMPL), which is expected to generate revenues of Rs. 238.5 crore for Mial.
As part of the contract, TIMPL will design, develop and maintain all advertisement locations inside the terminals and in the outdoor premises at CSIA for the next three years. The primary selection criteria were TIMPL's capabilities in designing locations as per international standards and introducing latest innovative forms of advertising solutions. Apart from the financial criteria, additional emphasis was placed on the overall design philosophy, informs an official release.
 


-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: omshivaya
Date Posted: 07/Mar/2007 at 12:01pm

Seems verticals' expansion is on track. Good luck to all those invested in ENIL.



-------------
The most important quality for an investor is temperament,not intellect.A temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against it


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 07/Mar/2007 at 10:06am
SO this was the reason why the stock managed to stay unaffected from this round of crash.. it actually improved a little bit


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 09/Mar/2007 at 12:42pm
Sometimes the stock go down inspite of good news...maybe it has already priced in that good news...Radio industry is not affected by Budget....Mirchi shareholders always khush..

-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: nikhil090
Date Posted: 09/Mar/2007 at 1:28pm
Buy on rumour , sell on news adage was at work here probably.


Posted By: chic_1978
Date Posted: 15/Mar/2007 at 8:28pm

Entertainment Network (ENTNET)

OUTPERFORMER

Current Price: Rs 315*

Target Price: Rs 419

Potential Upside: 33%

Time Frame: 15-18 months


ENIL is well geared to capitalize on the upturn in the radio industry through pan India expansion and its complimenting city centric businesses. Considering its dominance in the industry along with fillip from the other businesses we expect the company to show significant upside in next 2-3 years.

We believe there is no benchmark valuation for ENIL as there are no other players having the dominance and reach that ENIL commands in its business. However, globally we can compare it to Clear Channel, Citadel, Austereo and Cox Radio which are trading at 10x-13x EV/EBIDTA. The growth in these companies are slowing down and considering the growth which Indian market offers, we expect ENIL to command a fair premium over the peers. Hence we value ENIL at 13x EV/EBITDA and arrive to a fair value of Rs 419, an upside potential of 33%.

*closing price as on 8th March 07



-------------
happy & wise investing


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 15/Mar/2007 at 8:31pm
Whose report is that?

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: chic_1978
Date Posted: 15/Mar/2007 at 9:14pm
ICICI DIRECT

-------------
happy & wise investing


Posted By: India_Bull
Date Posted: 15/Mar/2007 at 6:32am
This is going to be a multibagger in next few years (and ICICI will keep on increasing the targets !!)
 
  • The car density (cars per xxx people) will increase significantly in next few years (due to higher disposable incomes  , though there are short term concerns of interest rates etc..Most of the car buyers are in the young to middle age group who love FM radio while travelling.
  • Teledensity will increase rapidly in next few years and most of the mobile phones are FM enabled .(You can check latest trend in mobile companies for FM as one of the USP.)
  • FM user population /Market will expand and so will the advertising rates and revenues.
  • There is no huge recurring cost to run the radio stations. (I mean nce the initial  investment is done to start the radio station )
  • FDI in radio and allowing news will further boost prospects
  • Leader has clear cut advantage

 

 



-------------
India_Bull forever Bull !
www.kapilcomedynights.com


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 26/Mar/2007 at 5:53pm
As per the FICCI-PWC report, advertising revenue in radio industry is expected to grow by 28 per cent annually to reach Rs 1,700 crore by 2011. Currently, radio generates advertising revenue of Rs 500 crore. The growth is fuelled by the expansion of private FM radio companies.
Out-of-home advertising by 17 per cent from Rs 1,000 crore to Rs 2,150 crore in the same period, the report said.
 


-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: Mr. V
Date Posted: 03/Apr/2007 at 8:01am
Radio Mirchi Jaipur leads the pack in the city

Excerpts from http://us.indiantelevision.com/release/y2k7/mar/marrel14.php

The total average daily listenership of radio is 11.35 lakh in Jaipur. Launched in April 2006, Radio Mirchi tops the listenership stakes with 6.11 lakh; followed by Tadka with 4.39 lakh and Radio City with 3.56 lakh listeners. SFM, My FM and Pink City follow with 2.88 lakh, 2.41 lakh and 1.46 lakh listeners respectively.

Commenting on its leadership status in the city, Pankaj Raina, Station Director, Radio Mirchi, said, "Radio Mirchi is not only the numero uno radio station in Jaipur, it is also far ahead from its nearest competitor by over 40%. A well researched product, strong Bollywood connect, 24 hours of hit music, sound understanding of the city and our target audiences, are some of the key contributors for our success in Jaipur."


Posted By: vip1
Date Posted: 03/Apr/2007 at 11:02am

"Radio Ga-Ga for UP polls, becomes the main publicity for public players"while 32% of the people did not read Newspapers almost everyone in the state owned a Radio

Eco Times today
 
Radio will the next very Big thing


Posted By: Mr. V
Date Posted: 04/Apr/2007 at 8:57pm
Radio Mirchi launched its 11th radio station in Patna and expects to roll out the remaining 21 stations by end of year.
 
http://www.indiantelevision.com/headlines/y2k7/apr/apr14.php - http://www.indiantelevision.com/headlines/y2k7/apr/apr14.php
 


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 04/Apr/2007 at 9:05pm
Seems like Mirchi shareholders always Khush. This stock has seen almost negligible decline in the carnage and the robust growth added by their ability to maintain leadership status are all working in favour of the shreholders. 

-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: vivekkumar_in
Date Posted: 04/Apr/2007 at 10:39pm
Originally posted by vip1

"Radio Ga-Ga for UP polls, becomes the main publicity for public players"while 32% of the people did not read Newspapers almost everyone in the state owned a Radio

Eco Times today
 
Radio will the next very Big thing


Won't Poll Coverage and all constitute to News ? I don't think Govt has provided permission for News to private FMs yet..

However if you are talking about poll Ads, I think that would contribute to revenue.


-------------
Often we forget there's a company behind every stock,and there's only one reason why stocks go up. Companies go from doing poorly to doing well or small companies grow to large companies.
P Lynch


Posted By: Mr. V
Date Posted: 04/Apr/2007 at 11:42pm
The article talks about only Poll ads. Apparently, BJP used it quite effectively in the Delhi municipal elections.
 
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/PoliticsNation/Radio_ga_ga_for_Uttar_Pradesh_polls/articleshow/1853532.cms - http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/PoliticsNation/Radio_ga_ga_for_Uttar_Pradesh_polls/articleshow/1853532.cms


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 04/Apr/2007 at 10:22am
This is interesting.......
---------------------------------------------------
Mirchi spurs sale of FM radios (toi)
Only three days into its launch, and Radio Mirchi at 98.3 FM is the hottest thing around. So much so that transistor sellers in Patna are laughing all the way to the bank.
Take this from Manish Kumar, an electronics shop owner at Bakerganj: "Sale of FM-band radios, FM Player and Car FM has shot up suddenly, thanks to Radio Mirchi." His shop earlier used to sell 10-15 sets of FM Player, each costing Rs 90 to Rs 105. During the last three days, the number has gone up to 50 every day.
According to Manish, though Car FM is a new concept, more and more vehicle owners are opting for it. "With the FM channel dishing out the latest numbers, Car FM is set to replace stereo decks in four-wheelers," he said.
Transistor sales have gone up at the shop of Raj Kumar Verma, another trader at Bakerganj, too. Till three days ago, Verma said, he sold 20 to 25 pieces every day.
Now he sells up to 40 sets every day. The cost of each set ranges from Rs 100 to Rs 125. "Mirchaiya FM has revived radio," said Azad Ahmed, another electronic goods trader.
Mohd Sabir said mainly youngsters are buying FM-band radios. Mohd Shaukat Ali of Cabinet Sales, said if Mirchi’s range is extended to the whole of Bihar, each shop would perhaps sell 500 sets everyday.
Anupam, a second year student of Patna University, is crazy about what he refers to as "Mirchi". At Bakerganj to buy a handy FM radio which he can carry even to college, he said, "We have a lot of music channels on our TV screens. But we cannot carry TV sets everywhere." He chose a earphone-equipped, plastic-body FM radio set for himself.


-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: Mr. V
Date Posted: 05/Apr/2007 at 5:22am
I did some back of the envelope calculations, projection and analysis based on the operating profit & Net profit margins of the last quarter. Bulk of the revenue for Radio companies is going to come from A+(4 Metros) and A cities and Radio Mirchi has a very well established presence in all these cities. The setting up costs for these 10 cities are complete and from ’08 onwards, the incremental revenues will start impacting the bottomline.
I expect ENIL to clock an EPS of Rs 6.5 in ’07 and Rs 13 in ’08 from these 10 stations.

The remaining 21 stations are expected to roll out by the end of this year. I do expect delays but for the sake of simplicity let’s assume that all the 32 stations are operational by Mar ’08 and start contributing to the EPS from ’09 onwards.

The ’09 revenues & profits will be from the 13 A & A+ cities and the remaining 19 B/C/ D cities. I think its prudent to assume that the profits from the smaller 19 cities will be significantly lower than that from the A/A+ cities.

EPS Calculations @ 30% growth:
     2008(10 cities)           = Rs 13
     2009(13 A/A+ cities)     = (13/10) * 1.3 * Rs 13 = Rs 22
     2010(13 A/A+ cities)     = 1.3 * Rs 22 = Rs 28.6

     Profitability of B/C/D cities at 70% of ’08 EPS from 10 A/A+ cities
     2009(19 B/C/D cities)     = 0.7 * 13 = Rs 9.1
     2010(19 B/C/D cities)     = 1.3 * 9.1= Rs 11.8

     Total ‘10 EPS @ 30% Growth = Rs 40.4
     Total ’10 EPS @ 40% Growth = Rs 46


Assumptions :
•     Profit margins from the top 13 A+ & A category cities will mirror the Q3 2007 margins from the 7 established stations of Radio Mirchi (Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata, Chennai, Pune, Ahmedabad, and Indore). The 3 new stations in Blr, Hyd and Jaipur will start contributing to the bottomline in ’08.
•     All the 32 stations will be operational and break even by Mar ’08.
•     EPS from the 19 B/C/D category cities will be 70% of the ‘08 EPS from the top 10 cities (Rs 13.5).
•     No equity dilution.

Triggers/Positives/Upsides

•     Significant contributions to EPS from OOH & Event management.
•     Increase in FDI Limit.
•     Regulatory changes to allow news & sports programming and multiple frequencies for the same player in one city.
•     Higher overall growth and/or increased contributions from B/C/D cities.


Bottomline

     Radio as a business is very simple to understand and scalability plays a big role in growth. ENIL should be able to do an EPS of Rs40-45 by Mar 2010 or at most by Mar 2011. If we consider a PE of 20 then we can expect ENIL to be a 3 bagger from current levels. This is a conservative estimate, if ENIL is able to clock higher growth rates then it will command higher PEs and can turn out to be a 5-6 bagger.


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 05/Apr/2007 at 9:14am
Excellent analysis. See this three paragraph write up is more effective and more realistic then a 13 page brokerage report. I would vouch for a PE in the range of 25-40 for Fy 10 depending on the growth rates.
 
All sector booms have ended in streched valuations whether it was software or even retail, telecom  and media would end with crazy valuations. Though we do not buy stocks for that kind of  valuation but the point is that before the end such a valuation normally tends to come in.
 
Even HLL traded at a PE of 40 times in the mid 90's so the returns could be better just that the company keeps growing at these rates.
 
 


-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: vip1
Date Posted: 06/Apr/2007 at 12:46pm
Congrats Mr.V for the super and to the point analysis  .


Posted By: tigershark
Date Posted: 06/Apr/2007 at 1:01pm
does any body have any idea what the mkt cap of the radio business in india is today and roughly what can be the mkt cap by 2010.enil has a mkt cap of 1560 crs.adlabs has a mkt cap of 800 crs but it also contains the movie business after the spin off it looks like the radio business will also look quite attractive but nodoubt enil will be the leader and also has the first mover advantage.so why not own both

-------------
understanding both the power of compound return and the difficulty getting it is the heart and soul of understanding a lot of things


Posted By: deveshkayal
Date Posted: 06/Apr/2007 at 1:10pm
Inspite of stiff competition in Mumbai, they have able to maintain their loyalty among the listeners. Its a sure 3 bagger from here...Good Analysis Victorji....We should own both ENIL and Adlabs....

-------------
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 06/Apr/2007 at 1:46pm
Originally posted by tigershark

does any body have any idea what the mkt cap of the radio business in india is today and roughly what can be the mkt cap by 2010.enil has a mkt cap of 1560 crs.adlabs has a mkt cap of 800 crs but it also contains the movie business after the spin off it looks like the radio business will also look quite attractive but nodoubt enil will be the leader and also has the first mover advantage.so why not own both
 
Focused companies always enjoy better discounting and create greater wealth for shareholders. But after the spin off in Adlabs the radio business will be focused and at that market cap it should make sense.So I would back Adlabs only because of that spin off which would enable the management to impart greater focus on the radio business.


-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in


Posted By: s_praharaj
Date Posted: 06/Apr/2007 at 2:05pm
Thank you Mr V. for your nice and brief analysis.
 
I think assuming 70% profit for B,C,D cities is a little on the higher side.
The BCD cities are also having poulation which are much less than 30% of the Metros and the revenue also will be significantly less. The majority of revenue for ENIL will come from the 4+10 cities.
 
If you can still modify your excellent analysis with some real data and expected revenues from BCD cities, it will be more exciting.
 


-------------
Shashi Praharaj


Posted By: Rinku
Date Posted: 06/Apr/2007 at 2:38pm
Hello to all of you.
 
Congrats to all of you(esp basantiji) for doing such excellent work.
 
I am small time investor.I have small exposure to ENIL and AdLabs.
 
After reading all the TED post I want to buy more ENIL and Adlabs.How should i divide my capital betn ENIL and AdLABS(50% - 50%).
 
Thanks for the Reply.


Posted By: tigershark
Date Posted: 06/Apr/2007 at 2:41pm
POINTS TO REMEMBER AND PONDER-the share of indian radio in the overall adv pie at 3% is much lower than other developing countries or developed ones.it is around 5% in countries in which the medium is in a developing phase and is around 10-12% in countries where the business has reached a mature phase radio mirchi has been able to attract 773 advertisers in 4 met cities between a peroidoct2004-oct2005 highest among all pvt broadcasters.now if he try to go by this data we find that revenues by 2010should be in the range of 700crs and anp of around 120 crs these are approx ranges which translates into a eps of around 26 and ape multiple of around 12,which is somewhat close to what mr v is trying tosay.iam taking the view that by 2010 the ind shall bcom mature.

-------------
understanding both the power of compound return and the difficulty getting it is the heart and soul of understanding a lot of things


Posted By: basant
Date Posted: 06/Apr/2007 at 3:16pm
Originally posted by Rinku

Hello to all of you.
 
Congrats to all of you(esp basantiji) for doing such excellent work.
 
I am small time investor.I have small exposure to ENIL and AdLabs.
 
After reading all the TED post I want to buy more ENIL and Adlabs.How should i divide my capital betn ENIL and AdLABS(50% - 50%).
 
Thanks for the Reply.
 
Thanks for joining in.I would put ENIL above Adlabs and maybe you could skew it a bit towards ENIL.


-------------
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in



Print Page | Close Window