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 The Equity Desk Forum :Investment Ideas - Creating winning portfolios! :Stock Synopsis
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tyler_durden
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Quote tyler_durden Replybullet Topic: Goodricke- can it be really good?
    Posted: 21/Feb/2007 at 12:31pm
Goodricke Group, the third largest tea-producing group in India, manages century-old tea gardens acrosss the tea-growing regions of Darjeeling, Dooars and Assam. The group owns nearly 10,000 hectares of plantations spread over 30 tea gardens.

Goodricke Group Ltd is a part of the UK-based Camellia that owns tea gardens in Kenya, Malawi, Bangladesh and Nepal.


registered office is in kolkata so basant ji might not like it.

EPS is rising for past 4 years consistently

cmp 72, mcap 160 crores, p/e = 14, eps = 5.33, past year pe range 20- 55, bv = 31

Groups: Tea

Company        Last Price        Market Cap
Tata Tea        666.00           3,931.40
Parry Agro Ind   1,400.00        526.40
Tata Coffee      274.00           511.83
Assam Company    20.10            449.44
Bombay Burmah    312.00           435.55
   
2003 eps = -3.8
2004 eps = 1.49
2005 eps = 1.74
2006 eps = 2.28 (expected)

2003 PAT = -82 crores
2004 PAT = 32 crores
2005 PAT = 37.6 crores
2006 PAT = 50 crores approx (expected)

board will announce a dividend on 28 feb 2007.

P A Leggatt Chairman
K S David Managing Director & CEO
B N Ghosh Managing Director
A K Mathur Director
S Kaul Director
K Sinha Director
D P Chakravarti Company Secretary
P K Sen Director
Kalyanbrata Palchoudhuri Non Executive Director
A N Singh Managing Director
M C Perkins Director


tea and coffee demand are increasing,

experts please comment...
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 21/Feb/2007 at 12:49pm
The problem that investors face in these kind of companies is the cyclical nature of the business. Generally the stock appears expensive on a PE basis but I think that tea is not yet in the upcycle (not sure since I do not follow the Tea industry so well) higher PE's in cyclical stocks makes for a case for buying the stock.
 
SO before we can conclude anything on whether to buy Goodricke or stick to Tata Tea it becomes essential to predict with a reasonable degree of accurancy on where the Tea industry is headed. Tata Tea is reducing its exposure to the vagarise of the Tea industry and is concentrating on branding and marketing of Tea.
 
The wonderful thing that investors of tea and sugar and coffee and cement and steel experience is that a rising tide lifts all boats. That means that if cement will do well so will India cement and so will shree cement. The question is one of magnitude rather then direction.


Edited by basant - 21/Feb/2007 at 1:15pm
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tyler_durden
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Quote tyler_durden Replybullet Posted: 21/Feb/2007 at 1:00pm
the PE range for 2005 was 32.79 - 55.75
the PE range for 2004 was 19.13 - 44.97

so currently its 13.88 and financially company looks good. i agree with you that it has a cyclical nature of business. but if tea cycle comes and PE rerating happens it could grow 2-3 times.

of course the thing is when will the tide come??
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s_praharaj
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Quote s_praharaj Replybullet Posted: 21/Feb/2007 at 10:46pm

Goodricke group is a very old tea compnay.

Qualitatively, it has the best tea gardens in Darjeeling.

There are two gardens of Goodricke in Darjeeling, the tea of which fetches the highest amount in the auctions in Germany.

But please see the price of the stock in last 20 years.
It has not appreciated at all.
 
You can not predict the cyclical stocks and Basant is 100% correct on it.
 
Rest is your decission.
Shashi Praharaj
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tyler_durden
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Quote tyler_durden Replybullet Posted: 21/Feb/2007 at 10:07am
i agree... thanks a lot for your valuable inputs...
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Vivek Sukhani
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 06/Mar/2009 at 6:17pm

Goodricke has done me proud..........by announcing a 3 coins a ticket as dividend.

The results are pretty nice as well:
 
 
Its now left to Goodyear to do the finishing act.....although a cut is quite likely yet anything above 3.5 to 4 coins a ticket will be perfectly acceptable in the current environment.
Jai Guru!!!
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Vivek Sukhani
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 06/Mar/2009 at 10:25pm
Originally posted by s_praharaj

Goodricke group is a very old tea compnay.

Qualitatively, it has the best tea gardens in Darjeeling.

There are two gardens of Goodricke in Darjeeling, the tea of which fetches the highest amount in the auctions in Germany.

But please see the price of the stock in last 20 years.
It has not appreciated at all.
 
You can not predict the cyclical stocks and Basant is 100% correct on it.
 
Rest is your decission.
 
I missed this thread altogether.....
 
Thanks Basant Sir, for guiding my post here.....
 
The two gardens which Shahshi Sir is mentioning are Badamtam and Barnesbeg, I guess. Thurbo is one of the biggest gardens in darjeeling Valley.
 
Overall, a wonderful company....quite niche.....less talked about, but goes quietly going about its task.....
 
Jai Guru!!!
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Hitesh Shah
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Quote Hitesh Shah Replybullet Posted: 06/Mar/2009 at 10:34pm
Here is a chart for the last ~  5 years. Looks like it has delisted from the NSE.
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