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Identifying Multibaggers
 The Equity Desk Forum :Market Strategies :Identifying Multibaggers
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 11/Jan/2009 at 11:49am
Amaraja looks better then the other two though on a market cap basis all of them seen beaten down.
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Quote manishdave Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 12:44pm

Basant,

Amararaja price needs to adjusted. It gave bonus in ration of 1:2 in this Q.
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 1:06pm
What would the adjusted buy price be?
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Quote manishdave Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 3:07pm

Purchase price should be 44.26.

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Quote somu0915 Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 4:10pm
Well to speak my heart out, I don't really like to buy companies every quarter. And I don't like TED XI every three months. I would rather like it displayed every year.
Three months is just too short to buy or sell any company.
Like Vivek said, I also plan to buy only a company only if I think I will sustain it for 4-5 yrs at least.
If you look closely, if your bought almost any company from TED XI five years ago and then compare it with today's price in this mega bear run, you will still be in profits.

I would also like to take another view in this bear run. I admit that in these times mid caps have been slaughtered mercilessly, still I feel one should have more of mid-caps in their current portfolio now than ever. Since they have been down by 1/10th, they will rise exponentially when the bull run starts. One cannot get such a price for mid caps maybe in their lifetime as they are getting now. But one should have the patience to hold for 5 yrs. And of course just because the price is attractive one should not buy blindly. A good decision of a performing mid cap with attractive price is the best option.
One may then switch gradually to large caps when the prices seem very optimistic in the bull run.

Would love to hear more comments on this.
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 4:34pm
Originally posted by somu0915


I would also like to take another view in this bear run. I admit that in these times mid caps have been slaughtered mercilessly, still I feel one should have more of mid-caps in their current portfolio now than ever. Since they have been down by 1/10th, they will rise exponentially when the bull run starts. One cannot get such a price for mid caps maybe in their lifetime as they are getting now. But one should have the patience to hold for 5 yrs. And of course just because the price is attractive one should not buy blindly. A good decision of a performing mid cap with attractive price is the best option.
One may then switch gradually to large caps when the prices seem very optimistic in the bull run.

Would love to hear more comments on this.
 
Midcaps is the wayb to make money but we need companies growing at 30%-40% and available at less then 10 times PE with high RoEs and preferably sector leaders.
 
Any names in this is a potential multibagger.
 
 
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Vivek Sukhani
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 8:30pm
Basant Sir, there are many variables in stock picking. And the biggest of them is sentiment. Although personally speaking, I have always seen sentiment as a variable to be challenged to make serious money here yet, in order to challenge that one has to be sure about that well.
 
Growth is a good variable when you are sure about survival. One thing I have noticed with growth companies is that even though P/L may be wonderful, yet the Balance Sheet is not in great shape. P/L mishaps can be taken into stride if Balance Sheet strength is there, but B/S mishaps can be fatal for an organisation.
 
There is time for everything in life. Before we try to make sense of future, we have to understand the present. And this is where we are all getting wrong. People should understand that retreat is also a strategy.
 
This is the time when you need loads of patience, and that should not be a forced patience. I will pounce on a Goodricke if I get it at less than 40 or a tata Chem if I get it near 120, but I will like to wait out for that thing to happen.
 
The most essential thing in stock markets is timing. However hard we may shun it, but this is what distinguishes froma wonderful performer from an ordinary performer.
 
Jai Guru!!!
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somu0915
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Quote somu0915 Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 9:01pm
Originally posted by Vivek Sukhani

The most essential thing in stock markets is timing. However hard we may shun it, but this is what distinguishes froma wonderful performer from an ordinary performer.
 


I disagree to this. Mr Buffet has been making money through decades through the bumpy ride of the market. Timing can be possible once or twice but cannot be done always.

Most important is patience. Patience to hold on and believe in your extincts. Patience to see some other company performing so well(which maybe outside your understaning) and still holding on to your business. Most important is discipline.

And greed is second factor which kills. The greed for more money convinces us to put money in lousy businesses.

Another most important factor is what you buy. No matter if you buy it a little expensive, if you can keep it for 10 years.. you will have an exponential profit. Even if someone bought a good business at the peak when sensex was 21000, and has the patience to keep it for 10 years, he will still be in good profits.

I think only few people on earth have that much patience.
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