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India_Bull
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 Posted: 25/Aug/2007 at 12:39pm |
Look for Accelerating Quarterly Earnings Growth:
what is crucial is not just that earnings
are up or that a certain price-to-earnings ratio exists; it is the change
and improvement from the stock's prior percentage rate of earning
increases that causes a supreme price surge.
If a Company's earnings are up 15% a year and suddenly
begin spurting 40% to 50% a year, it usually creates the basic
conditions for important stock price improvement.
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India_Bull forever Bull !
www.kapilcomedynights.com
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India_Bull
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 Posted: 25/Aug/2007 at 12:51pm |
Two Quarters of
Major Earnings Deceleration May Mean Trouble :
When the rate of earnings growth Starts to slow and begins meaningful
deceleration (for instance, a 50% rate of increase suddenly
decreases to only 15% for a couple quarters), the security probably has either
topped out permanently, regardless of what analysts say.
I prefer to see two quarters of material slowdown before turning negative on a
company's earnings since the best of organizations can periodically have one
slow quarter.
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India_Bull forever Bull !
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India_Bull
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Posts: 2296
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 Posted: 25/Aug/2007 at 12:56pm |
To say the security is undervalued just because it is
selling at a certain price-earnings ratio or because it is in the low range
of its historical P/E ratio is usually nonsense unless primary
consideration has first been given to whether the momentum and rate of change
in earnings is substantially increasing or decreasing.
(Perhaps this partially explains who so few public or
institutional investors, such as banks and insurance companies, make
worthwhile money following the buy-and-sell recommendations of
most securities analysts.)
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India_Bull forever Bull !
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India_Bull
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 Posted: 25/Aug/2007 at 1:05am |
A from CANSLIM:
A = Annual Earnings Increases;Look for Meaningful
Growth : If you want to own
part of a business in your home town, do you choose a steadily growing, successful concern or
one that is unsuccessful, not
growing and highly cyclical? Most of you would prefer a
business that is showing profitable growth. That's exactly what you
should look for in common stocks.
"Each
year's annual earnings per share
for the last five years should show an increase over the prior year's earnings."
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India_Bull forever Bull !
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India_Bull
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 Posted: 25/Aug/2007 at 1:13am |
Check the Stability of a Company's Five-Year
Earnings Record:
While the percentage rate of increase in earnings is
most important, an additional factor of value, is the stability and consistency of the
past five years' earnings.
All other things being equal, you may want to choose the security
showing a greater degree of consistency and stability in past earnings
growth.
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India_Bull forever Bull !
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India_Bull
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 Posted: 25/Aug/2007 at 1:19am |
Insist on Both Annual and Current Quarterly Earnings
Being Excellent :
We prefer to see current quarterly earnings
accelerating or at least maintaining the trend of several past quarters. A
standout stock needs a sound growth
record during recent years but also needs a strong current earnings record in the last few quarters.
It is the unique
combination of these two critical factors, rather than one or the
other being outstanding,that creates a superb stock, or at least
one that has a higher chance of true success.
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India_Bull forever Bull !
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India_Bull
Senior Member
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Location: United States
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Posts: 2296
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 Posted: 25/Aug/2007 at 1:29am |
Are Price-Earnings Ratios Important?
How important is it in selecting stocks?
Prepare yourself for a bubble-bursting surprise.
P/E ratios have been used for years by analysts as
their basic measurement tool in deciding if a stock is undervalued (has a low
P/E) and should be bought or is overvalued (has a high P/E) and should be sold.
Factual analysis of each cycle's winning stocks shows
that P/E ratios have very little to
do with whether a stock should be bought or not. A stock's P/E ratio is not normally an important cause
of the most successful stock moves. Our model book
studies proved the percentage increase
in earnings per share was substantially more crucial than the P/E ratio as a cause of impressive stock performance.
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India_Bull forever Bull !
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India_Bull
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 Posted: 25/Aug/2007 at 1:34am |
Don't buy a stock solely because the P/E ratio looks cheap.
There usually are good reasons why it is cheap, and there is
no golden rule in the marketplace that a stock which sells at eight or
ten times earnings can not eventually sell at four or five times earnings.
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India_Bull forever Bull !
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