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 The Equity Desk Forum :Investment Ideas - Creating winning portfolios! :Stock Synopsis
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Ajith
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Quote Ajith Replybullet Posted: 06/Sep/2006 at 11:40am
Gitanjali -business will really grow.I am a bit bothered about how they will raise equity.
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Quote nikhil091 Replybullet Posted: 10/Sep/2006 at 11:37am

What about new investors who want to purchase Gitanjali? Do you feel it still make sense to buy now or wait for some correction to pick the stock?

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Quote Equity Buff Replybullet Posted: 12/Sep/2006 at 8:44pm
If you ask me, I think the story in Gitanjali gems is good and it can give good returns in the med to long term. FY07 EPS should be around Rs. 17 so it is trading at a P/E of approx 12 which is not expensive given growth visibility. I think one can buy part qty at this price and buy more incase the stock falls. It is finally your call.
 
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s_praharaj
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Quote s_praharaj Replybullet Posted: 14/Sep/2006 at 10:13pm
Basant,
 
Let me congratulate you to start such a wonderful forum. You have made a interesting website and beleive me, I am quite impressed by your endeavours and equity analysis.
 
I would like to know a couple of things about Gitanjali Gems.
 
1. I do not know about the quality of Management, their integrity and sincerity to the shareholders.
 
2. Further, who are their suppliers, whether the present management also  are manufacturers and suppliers of the diamond jewellery through other companies.
 
3. Though it sales under four reputed brands, will it be able to give a good competition to Tanishq.
 
4. When the company will be able to reap the benefit from its SEEPZ operation of Hyderabad.
 
As of now it seems the company has a great future and the demand for diamond jewellery are increasing. Will it be OK to buy at this price or wait for a correction. 
 
Shashi S. Praharaj
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 14/Sep/2006 at 10:33pm
Thank you for your kind words. The management is fairly unknown to stock market circles. Privately management do various things but it is only after a shareholder has seen him for about one full business cycle that he can make up his mind of the integrity. So to me that remians an area where we would neither be positive nor negative.
 
Majority of their jewellery is manufactured internelly and they also get some from other suppliers.Gitanjali supplies to groups such as Sterling JC Penny etc in the exports market.
 
I would rate Tanishq on a higher scale simply because we have seen how Titan has gown. The Indian jewellery market is Rs 40,000 crores and the organized segment is only 10% of that. SO I do not think that there would be any big competitive pressures building up within the industry. Both should do very well.
 
SEZ is still 2 years away. In fact they plan to have jewellery manufacturers in their SEZ so that they could source their requirements from them.
 
This market listens to no one sir nor can we understand what it has in its mind. I would rather buy something and then as prices fall (whenever they do) I would buy more. In fact when ever I like a stock I take an initial exposure and then build it up from there. Now if you buy you may see prices falling and if you don't, prices could just keep going up. That is how strangely this market behaves at times.
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Quote Equity Buff Replybullet Posted: 14/Sep/2006 at 8:43am
Dear Basant,
 
Yes, I completely agree. If one likes a stock and if it is reasonably priced(on valuation parameters) then one should immediately buy part quantity. Then if the price falls add more. As you rightly said the market does not wait for or listen to anyone. It has a mind of its own.
 
Rgds.
 


Edited by Equity Buff - 04/Nov/2006 at 10:31am
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ashwin.adsouza
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Quote ashwin.adsouza Replybullet Posted: 15/Sep/2006 at 1:26pm
Dear Basant,
 
Are other stocks like Goldiam, Vaibhav and Srenuj as good as Gitanjali? They all deal in Jewellery and have plans for retail ventures. Also the PE of most of these jewelery stocks are in single digits.
 
Do you like any other jewellery stocks?
 
Thanks,
Ashwin.
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 15/Sep/2006 at 3:02pm
Goldiam is good but I have not studies it. On the other hand Titan and Gitanjali (in that order) have a great first mover advantage. The others I would try to avoid.
 
Now every one would try and get into jewellery retailing but the trick is to stay with the sector leaders (No. 1 and No. 2) only.
 
Generally while the PE ratio is important I would look at other things also. We discussed how we missed Infosys by looking at the PE ratio.If a company can get its plan correct the PE would not matter because the EPS growth would make the stock cheap again. People have been blowing the whistle on Titan since it was at Rs 160 but the stock keeps moving up inspite of having a high PE.Same with HDFC bank.
 
High PE stocks do carry some inherrent risks and are sharply volatile at times.


Edited by basant - 15/Sep/2006 at 3:03pm
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