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Identifying Multibaggers
 The Equity Desk Forum :Market Strategies :Identifying Multibaggers
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Vivek Sukhani
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Quote Vivek Sukhani Replybullet Posted: 26/Nov/2008 at 6:33pm
Valueman, I sometimes feel its all mother-good statements, meaning nothing when you decide to act.
Jai Guru!!!
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Quote valueman Replybullet Posted: 26/Nov/2008 at 7:07pm
Originally posted by Vivek Sukhani

Valueman, I sometimes feel its all mother-good statements, meaning nothing when you decide to act.


Whether we act or not act means nothing to Mr.Market . Each person has to find his own way of making money and I have expressed my opinion  on the same .


Edited by valueman - 26/Nov/2008 at 7:07pm

To achieve satisfactory investment results is easier than most people realize ; to achieve superior results is harder than it looks .
Benjamin Graham.
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somu0915
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Quote somu0915 Replybullet Posted: 26/Nov/2008 at 10:58am

Investing in stocks is basically investing in pieces of business .There are some business that keep growing steadily year after year and by the sheer power of compounding it helps you create wealth in the long run if you just keep holding on it ( provided you bought it at the right price ).There are some business  that will grow very fast for 3-5 years and then stagnate for few years and then be back again doing brisk business .Some  grow briskly for a few years and then loose track of their business and go to the doldrums .
You need to identify which of these business you want to invest and what is the time frame you would like to hold . You will understand the time frame only when you understand the underlying business .Problem is people focus more on the price and not on the business and hence end up in mess .But understanding business is not an easy task especially for retail investors as many of us do not come from a business class to understand the business of the stocks that we own .If we have great business vision we would not be buying small pieces of business .In fact we will be setting up our own firm and listing the same in market .That is the reason why we are in TED to educate ourselves through shared collaborative learning .


Very good piece of advise indeed. If we hold on to understandable business with a outstanding management and not to its stock value, for a considerable of time, it is bound to give good results.
IMHO as Buffet does, we should hold on to business which stand the test of time, simple businesses which do not promise extreme high returns in the short term but  sustainable return throughout years and years.

I also feel Valueman has given an excellent idea of three ScoreCards.
There are all sorts of investors here, some for short term(1-3) and some very long term(10+)..
So this idea would indeed cater to all kinds of investors here.
More ideas are welcome.


Edited by somu0915 - 26/Nov/2008 at 11:40am
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Quote value Replybullet Posted: 28/Nov/2008 at 6:16pm
Dear Mr Basant,
I appreciate your initiating note for this post.

Looking at the environment that we are presently, with demand going down, credit gettin scarce, china expected to flood our country with cheap manufacturing products, etc, how do we identify multibaggers in this environment.

As you mentioned, a stock getting 10x, with 30%cagr, will start getting 25x. However, today, i think we may be in situation where the likelihood of 10x stock gong to 5x is much higher. India Inc has gone too far ahead and taken more than it can digest - Even great companies like tata steel could face trouble.

2003-2008 was easy, with low capacities, growing demand, and easy credit. Now things have all together reversed, and we r facing problems in each one of them. With such broad conditions, how/where do we look at?

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