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Buffet, Lynch and other legends - Investing Strategies
 The Equity Desk Forum :Market Strategies :Buffet, Lynch and other legends - Investing Strategies
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manish_okhade
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Quote manish_okhade Replybullet Topic: Jime Roger's - Investing Insight
    Posted: 28/Feb/2009 at 11:29am
I am presently reading a book from the author in the title. What amazes me is that the more in looked into his investment style more stark resemblance is visible to value investing. Whatever i understood are penned down below:
 
1) Always buy cheap - It means buy some asset when its in dirt, when
you see it has a great future ahead but people are not recognizing. Jim's investment mantra is to buy commodities as they are always
saleable unlike technology or sector specific stock. Jim explains that when people were crazy mood to invest in Tech stocks (dotcom) then commodity was desrted, even news from Meryyl Lynch that they are planning to get rid of commodity was a souding a sweet chiming bell to his ears!
 
2) Hold long term - One needs a patience to earn the money, it's not possible to becoms rich overnight. Assets take time to materialize. He cited that commodites are bit cyclical and takes time to shoot.
 
3) Develop a vision for investment - Merely looking at ratios are not enough, instead you need to understand the business thoroughly, its cycles, risk factors etc.  For example, Jim sees a good future of coffee - he thinks that if somehow MNCs lures the India & China for drinking more coffee then we have billions of consumers !!!
 
PS: From various posts its clear that legendary (may not be now but has the potential to be in future ) indian investor Mr Basant is very much follower of above point Wink.
 
All said above sounds simple but needs a lot of hard work. Investor needs to wait for right opportunity and most important & difficult is knowing that whats an opportunity in itself !! Identifying the opportunity only comes from lots of study and knowledge.
 
It's a dream for every investor to be like Jim. Jim has retired at the age of 37 and he took the world tour and i guess having all the luxaries one can dream off.
 
Happy investing!
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chimak10
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Quote chimak10 Replybullet Posted: 20/Mar/2009 at 1:08pm
Commodity guru Jim Rogers says that printing of money by global banks will lead to commodities gain.

The commodity bull run, he said, has another 12 years to last. The US economy will not recover for many years, he said.





"The US is in serious trouble. It has been in a bad shape for a long time for several years. The government continues to make many, many mistakes. We had the worst credit bubble in world history and the US economy is not going to recover for a long time," he said.

"The dollar is a terribly slow currency. The government has now confirmed that it doesn’t care about the dollar and it’s going to debase it. One has to be wary before owning the dollar. All paper money is terribly suspect. If all central banks debase their currencies, all we can do is to own real assets,” Rogers said.

"All commodities will be affected. There will be a decrease in supply and commodities are going down. There is no question about that. We just have to see if demand goes down faster than supply or vice versa," he said.


Other highlights
Agri-commodity prices to rise further
Bullish on Rogers agriculture index
Rogers' strategy: Short on equities, long on commodities
China forex reserves will find way into commodities
Prices of oil to go up further on diminishing reserves
Printing money driving commodity prices
Brazil to be better than most countries in commodity space
Prices of oil to go up further on diminishing reserves
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manish_okhade
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Quote manish_okhade Replybullet Posted: 20/Mar/2009 at 1:41pm
My feel is as follows:
 
1) Sugar - bull run is already on the way, post election it will get boost as
    new govt. will not be much worried on regulations.
2) Paper - Time to enter, election needs lots of papers for advtz.
3) Gold - Lucky are those who baught it when everybody was focussed on
    Equity.
4) Oil - difficult to predict but if we look at 2-3 yrs then it is bound to rise.
 
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9StockPortfolio
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Quote 9StockPortfolio Replybullet Posted: 20/Mar/2009 at 4:39pm
Originally posted by manish_okhade

My feel is as follows:
 
1) Sugar - bull run is already on the way, post election it will get boost as
    new govt. will not be much worried on regulations.
2) Paper - Time to enter, election needs lots of papers for advtz.
3) Gold - Lucky are those who baught it when everybody was focussed on
    Equity.
4) Oil - difficult to predict but if we look at 2-3 yrs then it is bound to rise.
 

I feel oil will cross 65-70 within couple of months..
Pursuit of Value
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manish_okhade
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Quote manish_okhade Replybullet Posted: 20/Mar/2009 at 4:50pm
Originally posted by 9StockPortfolio

Originally posted by manish_okhade

My feel is as follows:
 
1) Sugar - bull run is already on the way, post election it will get boost as
    new govt. will not be much worried on regulations.
2) Paper - Time to enter, election needs lots of papers for advtz.
3) Gold - Lucky are those who baught it when everybody was focussed on
    Equity.
4) Oil - difficult to predict but if we look at 2-3 yrs then it is bound to rise.
 

I feel oil will cross 65-70 within couple of months..
 
Is it a gut feeling or  can you provide some input on how you come across this estimate 65-70 .
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shivkumar
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Quote shivkumar Replybullet Posted: 20/Mar/2009 at 4:54pm
since dollar is fast becoming monopoly money, anything like oil with price pegs in dollars will go up. Things will change when oil is delinked from the dollar. 
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Hitesh Shah
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Quote Hitesh Shah Replybullet Posted: 20/Mar/2009 at 5:35pm
Originally posted by shivkumar

since dollar is fast becoming monopoly money, anything like oil with price pegs in dollars will go up. Things will change when oil is delinked from the dollar. 


I think Iran tried that.
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shivkumar
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Quote shivkumar Replybullet Posted: 20/Mar/2009 at 6:17pm
yes. but soon saudi arabia and the rest will also look at options. 
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