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Buffet, Lynch and other legends - Investing Strategies
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Topic: Rakesh Jhunjhunwala's Portfolio - Sept 2008
    Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 10:12pm

Company

         Quantity

   Price

Value

Wts

PE

Mkt

 

 30.06.08

 30.09.08

12.01.09

Rs cr

 %

 

Cap

Titan industries

3985756

3867957

896

357

26.65

19

3979

Lupin

2752135

2792135

580

160

11.91

9.85

4800

Crisil

550000

550000

2397

132

9.84

13

1730

Aptech

13254403

13254403

80

106

7.91

61

370

Nagarjuna Const.

1562500

1600000

59

92

6.88

7.76

1350

Bilcare

2025000

2025000

439

89

6.63

13

756

Praj Industries

13376624

15525642

56

75

5.59

6.8

1040

Punj lloyd

5040000

5040000

115

58

4.33

11

3495

Karur Vysya Bank

2494073

2394073

223

56

4.15

5.74

1203

Pantaloon Retail

2330895

2330895

211

49

3.67

28

3702

Geojit

18000000

18000000

24

43

3.22

12.5

498

Bhushan Steel

829000

820000

298

25

1.84

2.61

1266

Agrotech Foods

1703259

1703259

96

16

1.22

13.6

234

Prime Focus

882500

882500

134

12

0.88

7.21

170

Infomedia

1506062

1506062

78

12

0.88

    --

155

Viceroy Hotels

4250000

37500000

25

11

0.79

18

104

Autoline Industries

1211622

1231233

63

8

0.57

4

82

Geometric Software

3035000

3185000

20

6

0.45

4

130

Kajaria Ceramics

1502642

1502642

31

5

0.35

14.3

228

ION Exchange

500000

643551

86

4

0.32

13

86

Champagne Indage

438650

500000

92

4

0.30

4

156

Zen technologies

450000

450000

89

4

0.30

9.5

72

JB Chemicals

1081650

1081650

37

4

0.30

4

304

MidDay Multimedia

2250000

2250000

12

3

0.20

     --

63

Garware Wall Rope

500000

500000

45

2

0.17

44

105

Dwarikesh Sugars

450000

450000

44

2

0.15

    --

71

Provogue

380000

1900000

51

2

0.14

21

584

MRO Tek

570834

570834

26

1

0.11

4.28

48

Alphageo

125000

125000

117

1

0.11

5

60

Rishi Lazer

380000

380000

26

1

0.07

5.5

20

Vadilal Industries

200000

200000

27

1

0.04

6

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total value of the portfolio (Rs crores)

 

 

 

1340

 

 

 

Colors in blue represent stocks where holdings have gone up and in red represent stocks where holdings have gone down.

 Piquant Observations:

·          His top 5 holdings account for 57.719% of his portfolio and his top 10 holdings account for almost 83.03% of his portfolio.

·          The recent stock market crash this portfolio has seen a notional loss of around 70%. From the January highs

·          Companies with higest trailing PEs in the portfolio Titan and CRISIL have outperformed all the other stocks.

·          Some stocks in the portfolio like Nagarjuna Construction and Punj Lloyd are down by close to 85% from the peak but if one can survive the market he can live to fight another day and that is precisely what Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is doing..

·          Companies like Titan, Pantaloon retail, Crisil, and Praj where Rakesh Jhunjhunwala has made most of the money are sector leaders. Karur Vysa Bank has been a multibagger for him but as Buffett professes one need not buy the biggest Bank to make most of the money.

·          All the companies where Rakesh jhunjhunwala has made most of his money started as mid/small caps and later grew with time. But the ones with the smallest market cap Vadilal Industries has done nothing. This indicates that small market cap is anecessary but not a comprehensive tool for creating a multibagger.

·          This portfolio has the latest market cap and the Price to earnings ratio as sourced from money control. The average Price Earnings ratio  adjusted for the companies that have no earnings is around 13 times! But most of these smaller capitalized companies in sectors that are scalable.

·          The underlying theme in the portfolio remains domestic consumption (Titan and Pantaloon,), Infrastructure (Nagarjuna Construction and Punj Lloyd) , pharma (Lupin and Bil Care) and financial Services (Crisil and Karur Vysya Bank.)

·           It is hard to find a cyclical or commodity stock in his portfolio.

·           Unlike the general investor none of these stocks are large caps in the true sense of the definition. Of Course he could be holding future positions in large caps but the point that I am trying to make is money is made in small and mid caps only. The notional losses that an investor can suffer are also the highest in these stocks. It is very important for an investor not to convert these notional losses in actual losses by selling the shares in despair.

·           Most of these stocks are being held for over 5  years. Companies like Titan, Pantaloon Retail fall in that category. Others like Crisil are being held for as long as 10 years. – Clearly Time and not timing is the key to these markets.

·          Almost all these companies are looking at a huge external scale of opportunity whether it is a Titan or a Pantaloon a Nagarjuna Construction or Lupin the sheer size of the addressable market is humongous. – Morale of the story “See the Bigger Picture”.

·          We do cover companies with huge scale of  opportunity in the  section TheEquityDeskReportCard Dec 2008 .

·          These shares are held by Rakesh and his wife Rekha Jhunjhunwala and form a part of his disclosed portfolio. He could be holding more shares through companies, trusts, proprietary accounts which are not in the public domain.

·          To know more about investing legends see the section World's greatest Investors



Edited by basant - 01/Feb/2009 at 3:08pm
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Hitesh Shah
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Quote Hitesh Shah Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 10:33pm
Basantji, is it possible to know for how long Ion Exchange has been in RJ's portfolio?


Ans.: First appeared in portfolio dated 31/12/2007.


Edited by Hitesh Shah - 13/Jan/2009 at 10:59pm
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kumardiwesh
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Quote kumardiwesh Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 11:33pm
Buffett professes one need not buy the biggest Bank to make most of the money.

Could you elaborate on this point?

Edited by kumardiwesh - 13/Jan/2009 at 11:33pm
"History does not tell you the probability of future financial things happening" - Warren Buffett
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 13/Jan/2009 at 7:31am
Buffett has Wells Fargo and AMex which are efficient but not necessarily the largest banks in US. Size is critical but not the end all for making invetsments into a banking company.
 
SBI, PNB, BOB and a host of PSU banks are larger to HDFC Bank but still I am sure that HDFC Bank will outpeform them over the next 3-5 years
 
ION is a company with hopeless management. They are kolkata based and have done nothing to improve shareholder returns. Shiv Kumar's old favourite Forbes Gokak is abetter option. I have no idea on its financials and am speaking from a pure business model point of view.
 
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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Quote Renegade Replybullet Posted: 14/Jan/2009 at 5:52pm
Seems the quantities for 30-09 are incorrect for few - Provogue, Viceroy and  Nagarjuna Cons
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Quote pereiradcruz Replybullet Posted: 15/Jan/2009 at 7:58pm
I learn from NSE that he has invested in Rallis. Please check this and update. Thanks again for the good work.  
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Quote manish_okhade Replybullet Posted: 24/Jan/2009 at 10:28am
 Does anybody knows modified portfolio of RJ in current mkt scenario?
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Quote kumardiwesh Replybullet Posted: 28/Jan/2009 at 2:44am
Basantji, you often use the word scalable while talking about RJ's investment philosophy.
Could you explain what you mean by scalability of a business model?
What kind of businesses are scalable and what kind are non-scalable?
It would be better if you could provide some examples.
"History does not tell you the probability of future financial things happening" - Warren Buffett
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