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Indian Economy - Powering Ahead!
 The Equity Desk Forum :Economy, Markets and commodities :Indian Economy - Powering Ahead!
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BGKGURU
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Quote BGKGURU Replybullet Topic: India-benficial or loser ?
    Posted: 16/Oct/2008 at 9:36am
i m looking gloomy picture by media for current situation by media. but i m optimistic and i feel that after 6 months growth will be in place and comparatively we will be in better position than other countries.
Bue we should be confident and should trust each other then we will outperform(growthwise) rest of world.
 
i request all of u plz write something so we can get confident and do hard work to achieve goal.
 
I m not good in writing but  i request basantji/other tedies plz write  article  in detail.
Respect the Markets and do MAKE mistakes, but see to it that you can afford to stay in the markets even after the mistake-RJ
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Mohan
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Quote Mohan Replybullet Posted: 16/Oct/2008 at 10:08am
Just like the media was posting a very rosy picture in January and we all know now that it was the best time to sell. Similarly, the opposite is true.
Buy, when there is blood on the street and doom and gloom all around.
Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.
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paragdesai
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Quote paragdesai Replybullet Posted: 18/Oct/2008 at 3:06pm
What I understand from all the articles on financial mess that I read is
Too low interest rates or too high interest rates both are injurious to the health of the countries economy.
 
So to balance this means to take right action at right time which is the primary responsibility of the RBI.
 
Today difference between Interest Rate in USA & India is mind blogging.
If Fed had not lowered the Interest Rate in USA at such a lower level in excuse of slowing economy today we might see recession in USA few years early which can be overcome in next few years. But now it seems that it may take 20-30 or more years. God knows.
 
On other hand we are raising Interest rate at last moment of panic when Inflation figures were gone out of control. (purely due to the political reason of one time big hike in Fuel prices). I understand that RBI should have increased Interest Rate in part when Property prices in India also quoted at Mind Blogging rates.
 
Sudden impact of hike in fuel price & hike in Interest rates prevented us from driving on steady speed of growth despite having clear road in front of us.
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Mohan
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Quote Mohan Replybullet Posted: 18/Oct/2008 at 10:22am
Paragbhai,
You nailed it on the head. The US obsessive effort to avoid a recession at all costs has finally failed. Now they are facing a mother of all recessions.
The US has to keep interest rates low. WHY ?It's the largest debtor in the world. Its in their interest to do so. 

Edited by Mohan - 19/Oct/2008 at 11:20pm
Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.
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sanman
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Quote sanman Replybullet Posted: 19/Oct/2008 at 6:55am
US has to make sure others drop their interest rates in concert with it, otherwise this would lead to a flight of capital away from the dollar.That's the major reason why the US has had to organize these international joint rate-cuts.

Right now, the dollar is at its most vulnerable. If some Soros types were to prey on the dollar right now, the same way that they preyed on the Malaysian and Thai currencies, it could have catastrophic effects.

Because all the developed countries are vulnerable to the shockwaves from such an outcome, they have an irresistable incentive to go along with the US on this.

It's interesting that India has been invited to the upcoming G7 summit along with China, because it shows that we now have an increasing impact on the international economic scene. The G7 seem to be quite anxious to tap the youthful energies of rising economies like India, in order to shore up their creaky old regime.
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Quote Mohan Replybullet Posted: 19/Oct/2008 at 7:10am
India and China due to its huge domestic markets will become more and more dominant in global power equation. No other economies have such a potential in terms of growth and development. Except Brazil of Course. Brazil is rich in commodities.


Edited by Mohan - 19/Oct/2008 at 7:11am
Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.
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kaushalchawla
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Quote kaushalchawla Replybullet Posted: 19/Oct/2008 at 7:13am
I have been reading articles about credit issues in India & slowing consumption. The public is kind of panicing and wants to cut down spending.

If these reports are true (on internet), then india's big domestic market theory will turn out to be same as decoupling theory.

Rest the time will tell.
Warm Regards,
Kaushal
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sanman
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Quote sanman Replybullet Posted: 19/Oct/2008 at 7:15am
They say India has been heavily losing out to China in the race for commodities resources, including in Africa.

I really think that India should make extra efforts in Latin American countries like Brazil. I was really hoping that an Indian giant like Tata might try to go in for a joint venture with Embraer, to enter into the aerospace sector in the mid-range aviation space, below the larger players like Boeing and Airbus.
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