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Indian Economy - Powering Ahead!
 The Equity Desk Forum :Economy, Markets and commodities :Indian Economy - Powering Ahead!
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omshivaya
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Quote omshivaya Replybullet Posted: 20/Jun/2008 at 12:08pm
I dont know much about Economics, but the article by Bagai seems pretty mind-blowing!! Maybe it is my amateurism in Economics.
The most important quality for an investor is temperament,not intellect.A temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd nor against it
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paragdesai
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Quote paragdesai Replybullet Posted: 20/Jun/2008 at 8:42am
One bold step to contain inflation is not to print currency but to withdraw  Rs. 1000 currency note with immediate effect. This may hurt in short term but harsh steps like this has to made. 
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 20/Jun/2008 at 9:22am
You mean demonetize them!Markets will be at 5000 index levels if that happens; our situation isn't so dire. Argentina, Brazil did this sometime in 1995.
 
 
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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Quote master Replybullet Posted: 20/Jun/2008 at 9:24am

Double-digit inflation will hit our bottomlines: India Inc

Corporate India, while admitting that inflation was a global phenomenon and that they had to live with double-digit inflation for some time to come, felt that their bottomlines were in for a hit. They wanted the Government to bring under control some of the hidden subsidies. Industry sees cost of funds going up and liquidity tightening, and consequently some impact on capital expenditure plans.

Mr Amar Lulla, Chief Executive Officer, Cipla Ltd: We have been feeling this for the last few months and it is getting out of hand. For the pharmaceutical sector, the prices of imports from China have gone up because of the Olympics. Inflation and rising input prices, coupled with the inflexibility on the industry to increase prices will have its impact. With such high inflation numbers, companies need to be able to adjust prices or they should be compensated. Otherwise, drugs will not be in the market or worse, spurious drugs will increase . Companies need more elbow room to operate. Bottom-line is set to take a five to seven percentage point hit.

Mr N Chandrasekaran, Chief Operating Officer & Executive Director, TCS: Our expansion plans depend on our deal pipeline and ramp up plans. We do not expect any impact on expansion due to inflation worries. Any rise in rates(reverse or reverse repo) will not impact us as we are a cash positive company and do not borrow from banks or the market. In a scenario of double digit inflation, we continue to focus on controlling costs in all aspects of operations.

Mr Ajay Piramal, Chairman, Piramal Healthcare Ltd: This year companies would meet their topline expectations, but the bottomline will see an impact.

Mr Venugopal Dhoot, Chairman & Managing Director, Videocon Group: Growth is possible along with inflation. Even today the lower middle class has not curbed spending.

Mr Pramod Chaudhuri, Chairman, Praj Industries: Rising inflation could lead to recession and even worse, ‘stagflation’.

Mr Seshagiri Rao, Director (Finance), JSW Steel Ltd: The immediate concern of industry is availability of capital. In the current scenario, interest rates are bound to go up and the growth in credit curtailed.

Mr Sonjoy Anand, Chief Financial Officer, Tech Mahindra: For IT companies , high inflation will not impact the demand size of business, as a majority of firms generate revenues from software exports to overseas clients. It will put additional pressure on cost heads related to infrastructure, travel, people and communication. We expect our travel expenses to increase.

Mr J K Gupta, CFO, CMC: Inflation can have some negative impact on growth momentum. From a client perspective, it could result in inflated wage bills and also impact the availability of surplus money (for discretionary expenses) for them. As clients might cut back on budgets, the demand environment for companies like ours will be impacted. Most companies will have to go slow on their capex investments.

Mr Surendra Hiranandani, Managing Director, Hiranandani Group: Double-digit inflation is not unique to India and has hit all the countries in the region, but India is better positioned to ride over this temporary phenomenon. The Government needs to expedite the reform process to sustain growth.

Mr Akhil Gupta, Joint Managing Director, Bharti Enterprises: Double-digit inflation is a temporary phase and in the long run it should settle at 8 per cent.

Mr Pramod Bhasin, Genpact President and CEO: The high numbers will make companies more conscious about efficiency and belt tightening measures in terms of what to do about pricing. We are more worried about the impact on our customers and how they will behave.

Mr Ajay S. Shriram, Chairman and Managing Director, DCM Shriram Consolidated Ltd: Input costs have gone up by 25-30 per cent in the last two years.

Mr A. Ramasubramanian, Chief Executive, Eicher Motors: What we are grappling with is the increase in steel prices which would impact vehicle prices

Mr B. Hariharan, CFO, Ballarpur Industries Ltd: As far as BILT is concerned, we have closed all capex till 2009 and would not be making any fresh borrowings.

Full article -Business Line

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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 20/Jun/2008 at 11:56am
  The best protection is your own earnings power, whether the currency is in seashells or paper money. A first-class surgeon or teacher will do alright in terms of commanding the earning power of other people. The second best protection is owning a wonderful business, not metals or raw materials or minerals.
 
The truth is, if you own Coca-Cola or Snickers bars or anything that people are going to want to give a portion of their current income to keep getting, and it has low capital-investment requirements, that’s the best investment you can possibly have in an inflationary world.  
 
Businesses to own in high inflation.
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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Quote aloksahi1971 Replybullet Posted: 21/Jun/2008 at 12:34pm

I unerstand that the cost of money goes up in an inflationary inviornment.But I want to know that if the cost of all the goods and services are going up the problem of facing inflation lies with people who have a fixed income.Now I will come to the farmers.

Input cost in percentage terms has gone up but in order to control inflation (read votebank) the cost of the produce is not being allowed to go up .Is this sound economics? A case for supply and demand is made out.So instead of subsidising citydwellers and conjuring up the bogy of inflation economics od demand and supply should be allowed to play out.
In case the cost of fuel goes up mass transport will become viable.Domestic Gas will be conserved and wastages will be brought down.
As an Ex Army personel I have noticed places with highest subsidy are the ones with maximum Corruption and least incentive for the locals to work.
Basant Sir might agree with me J&K is case in point.!!!!
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 21/Jun/2008 at 1:01pm
People who get adversely affected during inflationary times: Debtors, Fixed income groups like salaried people, pensioners, Bond holders, Fixed depositors etc. Mostly it is the mddlle class.
 
 
Beneficiaries: Creditors, Business owners (with pricing power and selectively).
 
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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BGKGURU
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Quote BGKGURU Replybullet Posted: 21/Jun/2008 at 11:04pm
We are not in top 10 list,nut plz remember we calculate inflation on wpi index on ther hand other countries calculate inflation on cpi index,so we cannot compare . our inflation may be 15%+(it is my guess as consmer price increase alwys greater thwn wholsale).
i was watching tv today and it looks that fm ministry and oil minstry are fighting each other. finance ministry blames on oil for inflation and oil ministry was saying that without oil price hike inflatioon would be 10% since oil compnents is very little. if minstry will fight with each other then how can they manage inflation.
we have dream team ms+chidi +ahlu but performance is very bad,may be because of left presuure they are able to do thing they want to and taking wrong decision at wrong time.
 
bjp govt increased oil prices so many times but they manage inflation if current govt did same thing then we may have differnt situation.
 
they were happy last year with low inflation around 4% but now they crying with same base. they should be realistic and think abe moderate inflation around 6%(nothing less nothing more ) with gdp growth 9-10%.
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