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Identifying Multibaggers
 The Equity Desk Forum :Market Strategies :Identifying Multibaggers
Message Icon Topic: Infosys- A 3000 bagger.How we missed it? Post Reply Post New Topic
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 18/Dec/2007 at 9:59am
Originally posted by tigershark

40 times forward is that a strict rule  there are many ted stocks that are 40 timesforward  a few you own basant, i also have some so could you pl be more specific as to what exactly you mean is it 40 forward with slowing growth be a more appropiate answer


That is certainly not the rule but it is the staarting point with some caveats;

1. There is tremendous scale and size of opportunity giving rise to visibility of earnings which can be back calculated. For eg. With the banking companies that we own we can check with in terms of branches; in retail with space signed etc etc.

2. Such earnings should be non cyclical so much that it is independent (to a large extent) on global cycles, international events, stk mkt movements.

3. There are comparable global business moodels with the global leader at 10x mkt cap to the local one which we are holding.

4. At smaller mkt caps (less then 2000 cr) everything is ignorable because a new business foray changes vevrything.
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deveshkayal
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Quote deveshkayal Replybullet Posted: 18/Dec/2007 at 10:08am
Originally posted by tigershark

40 times forward is that a strict rule  there are many ted stocks that are 40 timesforward  a few you own basant, i also have some so could you pl be more specific as to what exactly you mean is it 40 forward with slowing growth be a more appropiate answer
 
Very valid Question Doctor saab. PRIL is trading at FY09 PE of 40 or more. But I dont mind holding stocks which are growing at 80-100% annually. I dont think its a Strict Rule. Educomp is trading at the same PE but the stock will become cheap in 3 months. So if one is holding from long term perspective, it doesnt matter.
 


Edited by deveshkayal - 18/Dec/2007 at 10:10am
"You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beat the guy with a 130 IQ. Rationality is essential"- Warren Buffett
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kulman
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Quote kulman Replybullet Posted: 18/Dec/2007 at 10:09am
Interesting. Could you merge this post of yours here: EXIT: When to sell a stock?
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards
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kulman
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Quote kulman Replybullet Posted: 18/Dec/2007 at 10:15am
Originally posted by basant

That is certainly not the rule but it is the staarting point with some caveats; 

 
So in other words you always look at PEG, don't you?
 
 
Life can only be understood backwards—but it must be lived forwards
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daljit
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Quote daljit Replybullet Posted: 17/Feb/2009 at 7:17pm
I bought Infy in it's 2000 high of 7200 just before the dot com bust, present value adjusted to 900. Held it till this Jan and sold at 1350. Would have held longer but needed the funds. Can't help sometimes.
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Quote skumar Replybullet Posted: 04/Jan/2010 at 9:25pm
I have not invested in Infosys
 
 
But I just wanted to know whether this is the right time to invest in Infosys now and other IT stocks
 
 
and
 
whether Glodyne will perform like Infosys did.
 
 
Awaiting for your valuable comments and detailed analysis about Glodyne Technoserve.
 
 
Thanx
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yogishkamath
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Quote yogishkamath Replybullet Posted: 15/Feb/2010 at 2:45pm
 I don't think any regular guy would have bought Infosys in '93 and held on to it.

   However, I know plenty of people who have held ITC, Reliance, L&T etc for long times and seen them go up over a 1000 fold. 

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Quote TCSer Replybullet Posted: 15/Feb/2010 at 8:02pm
Originally posted by kulman

PE does not matter too much what matters is company's business model & management. Stock selection is the most important thing.
 
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Nice one, Vipul jee.
 
 


Could Jubilant foodworks fall into this category considering the huge growth potential in years to come?Imagine buying a Taco Bell or Mcdonald in USA in 1960s.India is akin to USA of 60s
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