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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Topic: DishTV- Multibagger in the long term
    Posted: 17/Apr/2007 at 11:16am
Dish is available at Rs 103. We have discussed the implications of pay tv in other threads and I think that in 4 years Dish could go up by 4 times.The only problem is we can get it lower. Company would break even in Fy09 so till it actually breaks even the stocks could correct lower but over the next few years this is the space to be in. We have been discussing Dish in the ZeeTv thread in some detail till now.
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Quote praveenmbd Replybullet Posted: 17/Apr/2007 at 11:37am
Subhash Chandra, Chairman, Dish TV says that about Rs 500 crore have been raised. The money raised will be invested in distribution business for Dish TV and WWIL. They are targeting a user base of 10 million by 2010, from the current two million.

Dish TV's current ARPU is at Rs 230-240 per month, which will grow to Rs 400. They are looking at an ARPU growth of 10-12% (YoY).

He adds that the capex needs for now will be taken care of by the Rs 500 crore raised. They see an EBITDA of USD 400 million by 2010-end

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Quote praveenmbd Replybullet Posted: 17/Apr/2007 at 11:45am
Quote tigershark Replybullet Posted: Today at 10:17am
pl remember this business is like the MOBILE BUSINESS inital capex is high but once the critical number of 3.5 million is reached co becomes cash positive thereafter every suscriber goes directly to the bottomline. things to watch---- at what rate suscriber base grows,competition from rivals, after sales service.this is an interesting business with potential hence mkt may value it ata billion rupees so lets see
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If break even comes at 3.5 mn users then at what will happen at 10 mn users by 2010 as claimed by Mr Subhash Chandra? 

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Quote Rinku Replybullet Posted: 18/Apr/2007 at 12:49pm

DTH service provider Dish TV India was trading at Rs 109.90 on BSE, supported by huge volumes.

Earlier, the Zee Group's demerged direct-to-home (DTH) arm listed at Rs 120 on the BSE against a base price of Rs 115. Dish TV has touched an intraday high/low of Rs 120 and Rs 100, respectively.

The stock has a circuit filter of 20%.

Dish TV India, previously known as ASC Enterprises, got demerged from Zee Entertainment Enterprises (ZEE) with effect from 12 February 2007 as part of the Zee group’s restructuring exercise.

The listing of Dish TV, which was earlier expected in late-March 2007, was earlier deferred due to a delay in getting regulatory approvals.

Dish TV commenced its operations in May 2005, by launching DTH services and was the first private Indian company to initiate DTH satellite broadcast operations in the country.

For every 100 shares of ZEE, shareholders were given 57.50 shares of Dish TV.

The paid-up equity capital of Dish TV India is Rs 42.82 crore. The face value per share is Re 1.

ENAM India Research, in a curtain raiser, has issued 'buy' rating on the scrip at Rs 120. Citigroup has estimated a fair value of Rs 90 - Rs 120 for Dish TV.

 

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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 18/Apr/2007 at 2:58pm
Originally posted by praveenmbd

With Rs 115 as base price fixed of DISH TV by BSE and 20% circuit limit would yuo advise to shift into another media company like ENIL OR TV 18. 
 
It is a no brainer whether diversified portfolios should have Dish or not I am 100% sure it must. I still rate TV 18 beter because results are expected in Tv18 earlier compared to DIsh; ENIL is not comparable as it is radio play.
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Quote praveenmbd Replybullet Posted: 18/Apr/2007 at 4:25pm
Thanks for guidance.
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 18/Apr/2007 at 4:35pm
But please be informed that Dish could test patience, conviction and opportunity cost. Company will break even in 2009 so the waiting period is something that we have to be mentally prepared about. No short term magic here.

Edited by basant - 18/Apr/2007 at 4:38pm
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Quote praveenmbd Replybullet Posted: 18/Apr/2007 at 4:57pm
Dish TV could be Rs 5000 cr co in 5 yrs: Enam
2007-04-18 11:02:19 Source : Moneycontrol.com
 
Manish Chokhani of Enam Consultants analyses forward going Dish TV standing. He says Dish TV is likely to add 1 crore subscribers in the next 5 years. It could be a Rs 5,000 crore company in 5 years. 

He sees EBITDA margins at 30-35% levels. But Dish TV profits are seen muted initially. The USD 100 million block of Dish TV has been placed with 6-7 big players. Out of the USD 100 million block, about 85% has been placed with FIIs. < ="http://202.87.40.52/promos/sponsor_news.js">

He adds that the proceeds from sale of Rs 4 crore shares by promoters, will be used for expansion. Dish TV ARPUs can go up to USD10-11 per month.

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