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sjerry4u
Newbie
Joined: 03/Dec/2007
Location: India
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Posts: 22
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 Posted: 22/May/2010 at 7:27pm |
@bihisello havent decided duration but it will be less than a month and with a if condition that nifty PE should be less than average. like simple algo devide min. to max. PE in fixed intervals and assign fixed amount to it like PE amount 10-12 10000rs 12-14 8000rs 14-16 6000rs 16-18 4000rs and so on. also investment missed in months when PE>PEavg should also be utilised when PE<PEavg. what do u say???
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-Jerry-
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bihisello
Senior Member
Joined: 28/Apr/2010
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Posts: 557
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 Posted: 22/May/2010 at 7:51pm |
Have you found Nifty average? What is it?
Maybe you would like to see Nifty mode than average. May be more useful. =======================
Jeryy, if you haven't seen this, please read it may give you idea?
http://money.outlookindia.com/article.aspx?262244
It is about Value Investment Plans.
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sjerry4u
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 Posted: 22/May/2010 at 1:53am |
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tZ7Z5UykZoh727I7twWGO9A&single=true&gid=0&output=html
here is how PE varied from 1999-2010. i have taken data from nse website. http://www.nseindia.com/content/indices/ind_pepbyield.htm
I had calculated mean/mode of PEs of nifty 50 index between 1999 to 2010 avg=18 mode=15
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-Jerry-
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sjerry4u
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 Posted: 22/May/2010 at 2:09am |
I read article, sounds interesting!!
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-Jerry-
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sjerry4u
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 Posted: 22/May/2010 at 3:17am |
but still in VIPs case also how i should decide at what level should i start. At preset nifty PE is 20, is it overvalued, fairly valued or undervalued?? I want to have some metric(like PE) so that my emotions dont drive me...
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-Jerry-
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bihisello
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Joined: 28/Apr/2010
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Posts: 557
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 Posted: 22/May/2010 at 7:52am |
Originally posted by sjerry4u
but still in VIPs case also how i should decide at what level should i start. At preset nifty PE is 20, is it overvalued, fairly valued or undervalued?? I want to have some metric(like PE) so that my emotions dont drive me...
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If one is risk-averse/loss-averse, fixed deposit is better.
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basant
Admin Group
Joined: 01/Jan/2006
Location: India
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Posts: 18403
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 Posted: 22/May/2010 at 10:57am |
The funny thing about the market Pe is that even the market participants do not know the mind of the market even though collectively they constitute the market. No wonder estimating Pe is an educated guess work rather then an offshoot of an inflexible mathematical formula.
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'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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bihisello
Senior Member
Joined: 28/Apr/2010
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 Posted: 23/May/2010 at 12:57pm |
Originally posted by sjerry4u
but still in VIPs case also how i should decide at what level should i start. At preset nifty PE is 20, is it overvalued, fairly valued or undervalued?? I want to have some metric(like PE) so that my emotions dont drive me...
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One more thing is sooner you start and longer you stay invested this question (in above bold letter) will become irrelevant.
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