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Value buys - The intrinsic value is close to market price
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Topic: TheequityDesk report card - June 2011
    Posted: 02/Jul/2011 at 10:08am

Dear Friends,

For several years in a row the TED XI stocks have demonstrated tremendous outperformance and the last quarter was no different.  The biggest conviction payoff was Hawkins Cooker a company that seems to have got its act together. If the promoters of this company act rationally then there is a long way to go for this stock.

This has been a consumer led bull market and many at TED have got the big picture correct. A strange dichotomy in this market is while several consumer companies have gone on to make a new high several times over the previous one some solid consumer names like United Spirits and Pantaloon Retail have lagged the market clearly indicating that this market is willing to pay for quality earnings only.

The dichotomy also indicates that the consumer stocks have some more way to go because unless there is a mania these stocks would not collapse and if there is a mania everything relating to consumer should go through the roof which is not happening.

But we are playing for earnings and not a bubble because an investor who looks for bubble in the market is like the man who killed the hen that laid the golden egg. It is better to count the eggs each day then to kill the hen in selfish greed but who are we to define what the markets will do we can just participate in the game and maybe at the right opportune time fold the cards and go to the next table something which not many have been able to do.

 

Company

Recm

Recm

Current

Gain/Loss

 

Price

Price

Price

Percent

Hawkins Cooker

5-Sep-06

92

1523

1555

Titan Industries

18-Aug-06

37.5

213

468

Page Industries

8-Feb-08

430

1987

362

HDFC Bank

20-Jul-06

697

2496

258

Yes Bank

1-Sep-06

89

317

256

HDFC,

5-Aug-06

249

701

182

Blue Star

6-Oct-06

137

304

122

Zydus Wellness

31-Mar-10

382

641

68

Voltamp

1-Apr-09

340

518

52

Thermax

15-Oct-07

690

600

-13

Voltas

28-Jan-08

220

159

-28

 

 

 

 

 

 

Regards,

 

Basant Maheshwari

 

 



Edited by basant - 03/Jul/2011 at 6:02pm
'The Thoughtful Investor: A Journey to Financial Freedom Through Stock Market Investing' - A Book on Equity Investing especially for Indian Investors. Book your copy now: www.thethoughtfulinvestor.in
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abhishekbasu
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Quote abhishekbasu Replybullet Posted: 02/Jul/2011 at 10:41am
Is it possible to give the TED XI portfolio performance on a yearly/half-yearly basis? i.e. How has the overall portfolio done vis-a-vis say the Sensex year-to-date? That would make understanding the performance of the portfolio over time much clearer.

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Bhupan
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Quote Bhupan Replybullet Posted: 02/Jul/2011 at 10:42am
First one to post .. . :)

Basant ji , how about making a  B team of TED XI ??

One query as well . I have seen for past year and half HDFC Bank is beating HDFC in earnings growth . is this going to remain same way going forward or we will see things changing ?


Edited by Bhupan - 02/Jul/2011 at 10:51am
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baba
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Quote baba Replybullet Posted: 02/Jul/2011 at 10:43am
Long live basant ji
A monthly investment of Rs 500 (Rs 17 per day) for 30 years @21%CAGR can create a wealth of Rs 1.5 crores. !!!
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DHIRAJKANT
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Quote DHIRAJKANT Replybullet Posted: 03/Jul/2011 at 1:47pm
Basant ji,
I hold voltamp @565.buy more or wait ?
time to buy voltas ?
pls guide,
regards.
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VikasG
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Quote VikasG Replybullet Posted: 03/Jul/2011 at 1:49pm

is there any "bench" TED list, i.e something which is in the line to be replaced with some of the current TED "Players" with  a new one or if some "Players" gets forced to take a break like Voltas??

Cutting losses is like performing surgery on one arm with the other’
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Quote Avora Replybullet Posted: 03/Jul/2011 at 3:23pm
Basantji

Is it possible to merge all report card message threads in to one thread?

Atul
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prudentinvestor
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Quote prudentinvestor Replybullet Posted: 03/Jul/2011 at 5:23pm
Assuming the growth story to continue what would a better bet among the top 5 consumer stocks, if one wishes to invest a lumpsum on one scrip.



Note: The P/E/G is compared against the last 5years CAGR just to ascertain how costly are them if they maintain this rate only, so if future growth expectations are higher the stocks would only be cheaper than these.

Need opinion from the seniors at TED.
"All you need for a lifetime of successful investing is a few big winners, and the pluses from those will overwhelm the minuses from the stocks that don’t work out..” - Peter Lynch
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