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Emerging companies - Mid caps that can become large cap
 The Equity Desk Forum :Investment Ideas - Creating winning portfolios! :Emerging companies - Mid caps that can become large cap
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go4lalit
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Quote go4lalit Replybullet Topic: Havells - 37% CAGR for the last 10 years
    Posted: 30/Aug/2006 at 5:07pm
Havells is a growth company with good track record. If we beleive in India Story, we can belief in Havells story as well. They are diversifying the business and have market cap of arounf 1500 crore. Can it be a bigger company may be like crompton.
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 30/Aug/2006 at 10:38am
Havells - 37% CAGR for the last 10 years
 
Havell's India (CMP Rs 285) is an excellent play on the Indian Housing and construction boom. I had provided an analogy to the Gold mining rush in California in my write-up on Nitco Tilesand Havells fits that concept extraordinarily well.

Havells is India’s  largest electrical product companies,  has made substantial investment into its various divisions .Its product profule range from building circuit protection equipment, industrial switchgear, cables & wires, energy meters, modular switches, fans, compact fluorescent lamps (CFL), lighting products and bath fittings.

CMP

Rs 285

Market capitalization

Rs 1530 croes

Sales FY 06

Rs 1000.36 crores

EPS FY 06

Rs 12.13 (Post bonus)

EPS FY 07 (E)

Rs 18.00

PE

Rs 15.83

RoE

48.32%

Sustainable growth

35%

PEG

0.42

The company ahs grown its revenues at 37% CAGR for the last 10 years and presently it trades at a PE of 15 time’s current year. The company has consistently shown growth and has been capturing market share from the leaders in the segment like Orient Fans. Havells strategy has been to leverage its brand and get into other electrical fittings and equipments whereas the C.K.Birla controlled Orient Fans never moved out of its comfort zone (fans).

Recently Havell's inaugurated its manufacturing unit at Haridwar, Uttaranchal. The plant would qualify for tax breaks and is India's largest integrated fan unit having a capacity of 2.4 Million fans/ annum. The management says that they intend to increase production capacity up to 3.6 Million fans/ annum within the next three years.

Havells products have a bit of innovation within them. They are attractively designed and are made to catch the customer’s eye  The Company had launched highly efficient energy saving fans by name of ES-50 where the consumer saves on energy consumption and recovers the cost of the total fan over two years.

The electrical appliances and fittings market is volume oriented and producers lack pricing power.

Havells derives about 25% of its revenues from the consumer electrical business The Company has maintained healthy margins despite stiff competition. Havell's is the market leader in CFLs. This market is growing at 40 per cent per annum.

To cope with the increasing demand Havells is expanding capacity across various product segments.. It has recently expanded its portfolio of products by merging a group company, Crabtree India, with itself. This merger creates synergies in the premium bath fittings and switches segment. As well as in the (CFLs), lighting systems and fans that caters to the housing sector.

The company’s exports business has also evolved quite well It recently acquired a European company and appears well positioned to independently penetrate the European market. Unlike other companies which become a manufacturing hub for their foreign counterparts Havells strategy of independently getting into the European market will lead to better realization and margins.

Recommendation: Investors intending to play the Indian Construction and Housing boom should buy Havells. The stock was quite resilient in the recent fall and refused to tank with the markets. While this is no short term pick the stock should form a part of the core portfolio for above market ratuens. The earnings visibility is very high and the company should grow at more then 35% - 40% for the next 3 years.
Source: Company feedback and BSEIndia.com 


Edited by basant - 30/Aug/2006 at 10:47am
If you could tell the future from a Balance Sheet then accountants and mathematicians would be the richest people in the world. I could be buying & selling stocks recommended here.Read the DISCLAIMER.
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Ajith
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Quote Ajith Replybullet Posted: 31/Aug/2006 at 10:47pm
Has good distribution network and  strong brands .A favourable PEG with  good long-term prospects as well.
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basant
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 31/Aug/2006 at 10:53pm
Qimat Gupta (the founder of Havells) was a school teacher I am told, narayan Murthy the son of a school teacher. Pronoy Roy of NDTV used to teach Economics at the Jawaharlal Nehru University
 
Cannot compare these three in business but their family back grounds do have striking similarities.
If you could tell the future from a Balance Sheet then accountants and mathematicians would be the richest people in the world. I could be buying & selling stocks recommended here.Read the DISCLAIMER.
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Quote basant Replybullet Posted: 06/Oct/2006 at 2:44pm
I was looking at an interview with Havells on NDTV a few minutes back
1) This year they would grow at 50% and then for the next2-3 years growth would be at around 40%CAGR.
2) The company is alooking at some european acquisitions
3) The operatring margins should improve in the 3rd and 4th quarter this year.
 
If you could tell the future from a Balance Sheet then accountants and mathematicians would be the richest people in the world. I could be buying & selling stocks recommended here.Read the DISCLAIMER.
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Quote reema Replybullet Posted: 06/Oct/2006 at 9:07pm

If it canb grow at this rate it should triple in 3 years. Is this share better then the leaders like crompton etc.

You should try to add wealth not multiply it
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Quote kattur Replybullet Posted: 06/Oct/2006 at 9:54pm

I have half a dozen CFL lights in my house - all of them Philips.  About six months ago, I needed two more - the shop recommended Havells - it came with a certain warranty - I thought, why not and bought it.  Within a week it went 'kaput' and I returned it to the shop.  The shopkeeper told me all the Havell lights were being returned - that should tell us something about their product quality

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RAKESH
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Quote RAKESH Replybullet Posted: 10/Oct/2006 at 7:11pm

is it worth buy right now

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