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abhishekbasu
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Quote abhishekbasu Replybullet Topic: Balaji Amines
    Posted: 11/Sep/2010 at 1:54pm
I am in the process of studying Balaji Amines in greater details. Here are some of my thoughts.

  • From the AR - "Some of your company's new products are 100% import substitutes and other products are commanding 100% market share in India and are being exported to major customers worldwide" .... could not ascertain which specific products they are talking about.
  • Some of company's new products are 100% import substitutes and other products are commanding 100% market share
    in India and are being exported to major customers worldwide. Di-methyl amino ethanol (DMAE) plant with a capacity of 10 MT/day was commissioned during the year. This process was developed through in house R & D Team of the company. This is a forward integration project for methyl amines plant and the product has good demand in the domestic and international markets.

  • To meet the increasing domestic and international demand, new plant for manufacture of GBL and NMP with a capacity of 50 MT/day is under construction. The plant is likely to be commissioned in FY11 which will contribute both to the top line and bottom line of the Company

  • The company has a 49% stake in Balaji Greentech (www.balajigreentech.com) which makes CFLs. It may not mean much now and also the numbers are not being consolidated.
  • Input prices (methyl/ethyl alcohol) - prices of molasses have reduced so they have made a lot of cost reduction. That may reverse once molasses/ethyl alcohol prices go up.
  • They are generating most of their required capacity of electricity through their captive power plants. Setting up one more 1.5 MW wind power plant this year as well. Given the power situation and cost in Maharashtra that may be a good cost -saving move.
I am not very comfortable about the diversification into the hotel business. They could probably have thought of something else for their land. But atleast they have got away from operating it and have got Sarovar to do it. So, it might not work out badly after all. But not very comfortable.

Also, their R&D costs are capitalized to a large extent (rather than expensed) which has the possibility of raising the PAT. But realistically, the impact is not very significant as of now.

Historically the debt-equity ratio has been over 1, although it is reducing a bit now, which is another red flag. But they seem to be doing well. I am expecting a yoy PAT growth of around 25-30% this year. Long term it may revert to its mean of 20%.

I am expecting an EPS of around 38-40 this year, so at a PE of 8-10, my expected target is around 310-380, which is a significant upside from the current level (220-230).

Senior TEDdies may want to look at the company and provide their views/feedback.

Disc: I hold the stock

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shivkumar
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Quote shivkumar Replybullet Posted: 11/Sep/2010 at 5:22pm
I understand that Balaji Greentech is coming out with an IPO in which Balaji Amines could offload some of its equity holdings. No time frame has been given for this.

Regarding the hotel project, the management is optimistic about the business in which Rs 30 cr is to be invested mainly by way commercial borrowing. I have been given to understand by the management that the hotel is coming up on a plot of land owned by the company. Solapur town is lacking in good hotels and management expects good potential as a number of corporate houses are setting up facilities here.

Moreover, there are no immediate plans for new hotels by any major player, so Balaji Amines could enjoy some pricing power on its hotel project for some time.

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abhishekbasu
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Quote abhishekbasu Replybullet Posted: 11/Sep/2010 at 6:45pm
The total hotel project cost is 40 crores as per their AR. And you are right, the land is part of their old office building on the main central road in Solapur. Business wise it may do well as Solapur is developing well as a industrial town, but I am not too sure what synergies are there between running a chemical company and owning a hotel. Seems more like a distraction to me.

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shivkumar
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Quote shivkumar Replybullet Posted: 11/Sep/2010 at 11:45am
Absolutely no synergies. but it is better to build a good quality hotel which has the potential to be sold to a hotel chain some years down the line rather than sell the land to some builder.
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nav_1996
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Quote nav_1996 Replybullet Posted: 12/Sep/2010 at 5:30pm
When you are a reasonably large company in a small town and accomodation available in the town is not good enough for your customers you have to develop good guest houses anyway. So that may be another possible angle for hotel.

Edited by nav_1996 - 12/Sep/2010 at 5:31pm
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excel_monkey
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Quote excel_monkey Replybullet Posted: 06/Jan/2011 at 3:37am
key raw material Methanol prices are up
margins could fall going forward

I don't know much about the company but
capacity utilization and capacity addition could help bridge the gap at net profit level
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CHINKI
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Quote CHINKI Replybullet Posted: 06/Jan/2011 at 7:06am
Few months back, they have already increased the prices. I don't know how much they could do now?

Where did you get to know about the increase in Methanol Prices?? If there is any link, let me know.

Trail run for the additional capacity of NMP is going on. It should be through in another a week or 10 days.
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excel_monkey
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Quote excel_monkey Replybullet Posted: 06/Jan/2011 at 8:06am
well one of my friend who is a petchem analyst
Originally posted by CHINKI

Few months back, they have already increased the prices. I don't know how much they could do now?

Where did you get to know about the increase in Methanol Prices?? If there is any link, let me know.

Trail run for the additional capacity of NMP is going on. It should be through in another a week or 10 days.
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